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Yeah, i know the previous suggestion was recently accepted, but take a look at the proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10282030 (offered 2 ref, outbidded and sold for 2.33)
^
only trade open selling a UC tam o' shanter. (3 on outpost)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10158810 (swapping for speacial lvl)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8809409 (not for sale, closed low-ball offer of 0.77)
still none available on bazaar
Notice the part in the trade: "I would've taken your offer." saying on a 1.44+weapon offer.
why 2 as the lower end then?
Probably because someone offered 2 refined, then was outbidded.
notice the accepted upgrade of .33 max 14 hours ago, then you acquired one and want it up 1 ref
please post counterproof instead of conspiracies