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Time to update this 8 months old price.
3 open trades on OP.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10113530 - B/O 2 buds
* 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9915741 - No B/O (not lower than 23)
* Smoking Pencil Pusher (retracted) - 16-19 keys
* 18 keys
* 19 keys, 1 bud - 2 keys (buds were 23 keys, so 21 keys) (seems to have bought one for 19 keys, cannot find the trade)
* 22 keys
* Blizzardy TS Engi Cap (20-22 keys)
* 18 keys
* Searing Plasma Buckaroo's Hat (18-19 keys)
* Nuts Milkman - 4 keys = ~16-18 keys
* Orb Planets Unusual outdoorsman + 2 keys = 17-20 keys
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10285115
Unboxed.
Offers not from the same as above:
* Steaming Hard counter + 3 keys = 14-16 keys
* Steaming Magnificent Mongolian
* 16 keys
* Bills + 10 keys = 18 keys
* G. fetti Bicorne (1.3-1.4 buds) - Duped? "...the only unusual copy of Buccaneer's Bicorne with Green Confetti..."
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9992514
Sold it for 35$ (?) = ~1 bud two weeks ago(?)
------
Seeing a lot of 18 keys offers.
22 is top because of last sale and 22 pure offer
Good proof, but there are no sales as of now. People offer a lot of stuff, but seldom keep their word on tf2outpost