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This hat hasn't been updated in four months, weather effects are already not that well liked.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10217286 - Only offer is 1 Bud + TS Bills + Sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8627584 - His B/O is 2.5 Pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9781781 - Many hat offers around 1.5-2.5, Some 2 Bills, salvaged crate 50 offers.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10391163 - No offers, B/O is 2.5 Pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10050497 - B/O is 2.5 Pure
I had this hat, and I had my B/O at three, I had to finally accept a Strange Festive Rocket Launcher
Edit - http://imgur.com/2JTtLC2 - My trade for a Stormy Stormy Surgeon's Stahlhelm. It took about 2 days to sell, and this is 2 buds= 22 keys. So 44 + 4 = 48 + Sweets
hm, i dont know where your 2 bud bit is coming from but upvote for now...
B/O =/= UPPER PRICE RANGE
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10205012 sold for --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10128551 Stormy Storm Head Warmer (~2)+ bill (~0.4)~2.4 buds.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9036188 probably sold for --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8277564 Bubbling Blighted Beak (~2.5)+ Bubbling Grimm Hatte(~1.1)- sweets (I think ~0.5)~3 -here I am not sour
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9864568 -sold for 2 buds +10 keys~2.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9729128 -sold for Stormy Storm Charmer's Chapeau (~2.2 -old price)
I agree with 2.5- but not hight end of price , 2 buds -here very small (need proof at this lower end-purchase or sale of ) , sorry NO
I'm confused, you don't think that B/Os accurately represent top price, and I don't either.
But looks like the 3 of 4 you posted are in the 2.4-2.5 bud range for sales, so doesn't that just prove the point further that this is accurate?