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Demand/hype goes down, stock goes up. Proof:
Sellers @ 0.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10424519 > adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10396997 > 3 for a ref
Sellers @ 0.22
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10442600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10439086 > looks like he sold 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10442431
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10437406
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10434041 > adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10443091 > added
Sellers @ 0.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10439569
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10418399 > adds
Sellers accepting offers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10378040 > 0.15, 0.22
----------------------------------
BUYERS (None really sold here but you get the point)
Buyers @ 0.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10410458 > 0.11 offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10367581 > 0.11 & 0.22 offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10410118 > 0.11 offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10383869
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10409222
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10439716
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10356189
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10407432
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10348965
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10340669
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10357968
and so on...
Buyers @ 0.22
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10440852 > 0.22 offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10413728 > 0.22 offer by Mmmrpgh
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10417441 > 0.22 offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10410118 > 0.22 offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10377030 > 0.22 offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10435854
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10353272
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10374886
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10376851
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10374242
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10434172
Buyers @ 0.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10358853
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10426722 > got an add
The buyers don't prove much but the sellers do.
Happy voting,
Willem
Most of your seller trades have adds, which disproves your proof. Most are also very recent.
Uhhm? This, I don't understand.
I prove there are transactions being made in my new price range. Basically, people buying crates in the range of 0.11-0.33.
I Don't understand why it should be wrong :)
There are only 9 pages of sellers on OP, a majority of them being 0.44 and higher sellers which don't succeed at all, but I don't have to prove them wrong because the current range is 0.33.
the buyers for 0.33ref is a problem...
find more proof of 0.11ref
I'll take another look.
Btw, as said, the buyers at 0.33 don't succeed.
even worst... if they cant buy it for 0.33ref it mean none will sell for that low
(i saw the sellers for 0.11)
Yeah but that's the reason why the range starts at 0.11 and ends at 0.33...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10338156
Why aren't I on the list? >:l
Just bought one quickly for .22
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10456356/
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/5635/6/58
Most of them selling for 2-3 scrap only 1 1 scrap
Yea, the point in dropping the price is that these crates look pretty, but they drop a lot. Nobody has any idea what's in them, but as long as they drop like normal crates, i don't really have an idea what "SPECIAL" could be in them...so for the moment, my opinion is that they can't be considered much more than ordinary crates...somewhere around 0.11-0.33 would be totally ok, but if the price goes up to more than 0.33, there's a problem...
Updated with more proof.
all your proofs of 0.11 are 2 quick sells and they gone so fast .. need more proof of 0.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10439569
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10418399
and your buyers links are wrong
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10410458 > 0.11 offer seller been offered 0.33 each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10367581 > 0.11 & 0.22 offers seller been offered 0.22 each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10410118 > 0.11 offer seller been offered 0.22 and didn't took it
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10383869 seller declined 0.11
those are your buyers all of them failed to buy it at a scrap and most of them ware buying for more 2 days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10409222
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10439716
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10356189
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10407432
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10348965
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10340669
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10357968 : bought at 0.33 each and changed his price to 0.11 but no more sellers added him
now due the fact of the market 0.11 too hard to find one , 0.22 possible but took time to find sellers http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10407018 i bought them 2 scraps but that rly no easy , as well 0.33 is the current price .
so its maybe dropping to 0.22-0.33 However some peoples selling them higher than a rec .
don't forget steam market sales of 0.44 more than 30 crates sold daily at this price .
when are the keys even coming out for the crate?
Nobody knows at the moment, but that doesn't really matter for the price of this crate. I can't tell what the market will do when the key for this crate comes out :)
kk
i heard on tuesday is an update with key-release.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10451079
http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198060537125/inventoryhistory/
Sold mine in 5 minutes of posting for .33
I sold 4 of them for 1 scrap in less than 1 minute so yeah
Nice proofs, so upvoted. I sold the mine for 2 scraps.
up vote got no adds at 0.33 then i changed it to 0.22 and 5 secs later got a add as appose to about 3 hours no adds at 0.33
http://i.imgur.com/SWpXRkR.png
Thank you, and also to all above supporting my suggestion :)
I've bought 8 for a scrap each on trade servers if that helps.
That always helps. Providing screenshots of your trade history pretty much confirms this, that would always be nice :)
I have 0 proof to offer but someone just cold-offered 1 ref for 2 robocrates in a trade server earlier so I jumped on it. Personally, I bet 0.33 proves overpriced once this pans out but I just thought I'd share my experience.
It should be lowered.
0.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10459028
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10470577
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10388411
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10441494
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10427981
0.22-0.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10472074
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10463262
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10470646
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10450666
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10465991
People sometimes overprice it to 1 ref or 2 rec, even a key!
I wish I could give you the credit, because this suggestion has clearly been given more time and effort. However, few of the .11 buyers have succeeded, and any that pop up sell instantly.