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First things first. Geel9 doesn't like scrap.tf being used as proof so: http://scrap.tf/items
scrap.tf just banked 8 Vintage Lugermorphs: http://i.imgur.com/6NFlRZZ.png
scrap.tf currently buys for 9 keys and sells for 9 keys and 2.55 refined: http://i.imgur.com/VYef89s.png
Sellers from Outpost:
1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10312449 9 keys
2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10401758 9 keys
3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10327962 9 keys
4. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10257244 9 keys and 2.44 refined
5. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10360822 9.75 keys
6. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10347698 10 keys
7. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10461717 10 keys
8. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10355910 10 keys
9. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10426277 10 keys
10. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10472005 10 keys
11. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10424871 10 keys
12. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10435882 10 keys
13. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10303026 10 keys
14. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10454779 10 keys
15. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10258949 10 keys
16. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10448654 10 keys
17. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10463461 10 keys
18. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10464676 10 keys
19. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10265195 10 keys
20. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10069991 10 keys
21. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10429591 10 keys
22. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10425087 10 keys
23. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10433737 10 keys
24. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10469927 10 keys
25. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10431984 10 keys
26. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10355285 10 keys
27. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10466965 10 keys
28. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10367090 10 keys
29. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10450525 10 keys
30. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10382385 10 keys
31. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10437319 10 keys
32. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10461991 10 keys
33. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9772028 10 keys
34. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10462828 10 keys
35. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10206130 10 keys
¡uoıʇsǝbbns sıɥʇ ǝʇoʌdn ʎןןɐʇoʇ pןnoɥs noʎ
mama mia, wall of proof, upvote.
YOU CANT EVEN CLICK ON THE LINKS YET
how you know those are all not fake?
Because we all know Baloo is better then that.
cus i trust that baloo isnt a female dog and also a rep whore, sorry for the profanity.
Why outpost gotta do that to me? These links all worked when I was making this suggestion. Geel9 probably teamed up with Sneeza just to smite me!
Same thing happened to me with uncraft ap-saps.... then outpost went down and people downscored without even being able to see to confirm things.
Just to let you know, one of the V. Lugers have been sold. Anyways, the proof is looking good, so I'll judge when Outpost becomes available.
A lot of your 10 key links are only 1-2 days old two of them are only 12 hours and 19 hours old. Also #26 and #10 sold. Link #1 the owner of the trade was saying he changed his price to 10 keys. Link #4 said in the comments he was looking now for the 10-11 key area instead. Link #5 is irrelevant, 9.75 is in the current price range which serves as counter proof against you.
I never States which links supported or did not support this suggestion the simple fact of the matter is that it has become more difficult to sell for 10 keys which becomes emphasized when you realize the people selling at 9 keys lowered their price from 10 keys in an effort to try and sell their item.
You only have 4 people up there selling in your price rang and some raised back up to 10. Also, some of those sold and again, don't ignore the fact that most of your links are young. I don't mean to be really annoying here because I'm sure I am annoying you but I don't wanna upvote this without better proof.
None of the people who bumped down from 10 keys to 9 keys moved their price back up. The 3 people who were selling for 9 keys had their trades open for 6 days, 3 days, and 6 days respectively. I do not find that time period at all new and therefore the fact that they decoded to bump down their prices by a key in order to sell shows a downward trend in demand. Out of the 8 sold to scrap.tf last night for 9 keys there are still 5 left at the high end of my range.
I remember either Geel or Jesse saying that not all of their items on the item bot were sold by the users. Sometimes they also restock items themselves and dump those to the bot (I'm guessing it's because they want to see if the item sells for their price, without having to wait for users to sell theirs to the bot).
I'm fairly sure it was on reddit.
EDIT: I can't find the source. Take it as you will, it won't affect the suggestion in any way.
Good proof and yeah there are a lot on scrap.tf right now. I remember someone yelled at me when I pointed that out the last time someone tried to bring down lugers. Also when I tried to bring down Bill's people said my proof of under 8 keys was no proof at all. It will be interesting to see what happens here because there sure are a lot of 10 keyers. >>
#1 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10195647 >> 10 #3 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10437319 >> 10
#5 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10461991 >> 10 #7 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10469631 >> 10
#9 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10461717 >> 10 #11 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10425087 >> 10
#14 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10327962 >> 9 <<< 9 keys 6 days ago
#16 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10360822 >> 9.75
#18 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10478038 >> 10 #19 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10431665 >> 10
#25 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10303026 >> 10 #28 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10258949 >> 10
#29 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10464676 >> 10 #30 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10448654 >> 10
#36 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10463461 >> 10
#38 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10257244 >> 9 + 2.44 ref 1 week ago
#40 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10429591 >> 10 #41 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10424871 >> 10
#43 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10433737 >> 10 #45 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10466965 >> 10
#46 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10265195 >> 10 #48 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10144634 >> 10
#51 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9822295 >> 10 #52 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10435882 >> 10
#54 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10414118 >> 9 + 3 ref 3 days ago
#59 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10069991 >> 10 #62 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10426277 >> 10
#64 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10163198 >> 10 #67 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8251835 >> 10
#70 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9772028 >> 10 #73 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10347698 >> 10
#79 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10454779 >> 10 #82 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10435039 >> 10
#83 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10469927 >> 10 #84 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10481310 >> 10
#86 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10462828 >> 10
#87 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10481223 >> 7 <<< really? 7 keys?
#89 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10382385 >> 10 #91 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10431984 >> 10
#93 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10423340 >> 10 #98 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10373132 >> 10
#99 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10206130 >> 10 #102 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9954784 >> 10
#103 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9224086 >> 10
#109 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10391030 >> 9 << 9 keys from 3 days ago
#113 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10350443 >> 10
#115 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10301385 >> 10 #116 >> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10206560 >> 10
Just a note, #87 is actually selling the Huntsman for 7 and the Luger for 11, not the other way around.
Yeah I guess it can be considered that way.
#87 has a person considering 10
#14 offered a bill + 2 keys
And it sold or was taken down
arn't you a bad boy
I've been known on occasion to press the handicapped button to open doors even though I am not handicapped. I am, indeed, quite the bad boy.
Oh really? Well I went on disney.com without my parents permission. I am quite the bad boy ladies want.
Well, I do my math homework in pen. I too like to be a bad boy and live dangerously. On a side note, can someone please explain why scrap.tf has this? http://tinypic.com/r/33n9uzd/5
Hmm, maybe one of the scrap.tf bots helped a free to play obtain an upgrade to premium gift for free and as compensation for that action the person named that bot as being the person that helped them the most during their time as a free to play.
That's the most logical scenario.
http://www.quickmeme.com/meme/3u6nry/
Someone thanked the bot when they upgraded to premium. We don't know why. It was pretty random.
Called it!
I go to the movies and don't silence my cellphone...because no one ever calls. :(
I thought i was being a bad boy when i watch finding nemo with out my parents permission
It's past my bedtime right now. c:
I created a Club Penguin account.
Without telling my parents.
Prepare to be tattled on!
NO, Don't tell my Mommy. :c
I'll have you know I removed my USB without safely ejecting it.
I did that too.. WITH MY HARD DRIVE.
Hum, the nerd down at the computer looked like he was about to cry when I called him..