http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10514129 - my trade, in 1 day had offer of orbiting fire flipped tribly if I add 3-4 keys(24-25 keys after overpay and such, I even said yes to the offer, but the guy seems to have sold it)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10432499 - wants $80(cashing out bp, a little more than 2 buds with buds at $35 or $38) had offer of steaming tricorne + uncraft stickybomb launcher(i had the same guy, looks like we both instantly rejected it)

previous sales for this hat are 4 months or older

for my hat some recent sales/offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10407323 - rejected 22 keys in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10304693 - offer of level 100 bubbling hoodie 19 keys + level stuff, here's the 22 key offer in items

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9755677 - offered 24 keys

bringing lowend up to 22 based on rejection of 22 in items, and bringing highend down to 25 based on the offer in my trade

only 2 on market and with one of them not selling for 4 months, there isn't much proof avaliable

8 month old price, and yes I own it. First of all if you wanted to know I got it in a 1:3 deal was a bit surprised that a nice effect was so low, but wanted to see if that range was still valid in selling mine