Suggestion: Haunted Ghosts Hot Dogger at 36.21–42.6 keys

Price Suggestion

~28 keys

ghosts

41 votes up

23 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Sun, 05 May 13 05:58:51 +0000 by [GIRL] Mr. Bucket.

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Comments

Haunted Ghosts Hot Dogger, 3 MONTH OLD PRICE! needs a small raise as people are offering towards top range and beyond. Lower range isn't possible. Two open trades currently, the last two trades from their history are from three weeks ago, thus too old.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10017457 - 3 weeks ago, no B/O. Was offered:

-Vintage Bills = 1.9-2 buds [3 weeks ago]

-Orbiting Fire Front Runner = 1.7-2.1 buds [2 weeks ago]

-Smoking Samur-Eye + small sweets = 1.5-1.9 buds + sweets [1 week ago]

-Stormy Storm Rimmed Raincatcher (1.5-1.8) + 3 keys (0.1) = 1.6-1.9 buds [1 week ago]

-Blizzardy Storm Trophy Belt (1.5-1.8) + 10 keys = 1.9-2.2 buds [1 day ago]

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10385700 - 1 week ago, B/O 42 keys (2 buds). Was offered:

-Stormy Storm Conquistador (1.5-1.7) + sweets = ? 1.5-1.7 buds [6 days ago]

-Orbiting Planets Cannonball (1.8-2.1) - 6 keys (0.3) = 1.5-1.8 buds [6 days ago]

All of the offers from the first trade are around 1.8, with the Vin. Bills being about 2 and two unusuals being worth a bit over two. Unusual overpay would make them worth just two, so the top range should stay the same. But offers of 1.5 are no longer being made, and the ones that are are lowballs at this point because of all the 1.8-ish offers.

This was a very short suggestion because of only two links being relevant. Let me know if I missed anything or was unclear as to why 1.7-2 should be the new range.

You aren't counting unusuals as overpay and none of the offers really hit a solid 1.7-2 range besides the offers of the v.bills and the t.belt. This supports the current, but 'old' price. Downvote unless you can prove otherwise.

But even on the low range of the hats that were offered, all of the offers on the 1st link are above 1.5. I was trying to show that the low range is no longer possible.

The 2nd and last offers from that link, even on the low end, are 1.7 and 1.9 buds.

I wish you searched back a little farther, I found some better offers on the past owner of the hot dogger (~month ago) such as a blizz cowl (1.9-2.6) and blizz bonk helm (1.4-1.7) + nuts hound dog (12-16 keys). http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9180590 And I still wish for you to factor in unusual overpay.

I wasn't sure how far back you could go without it being considered 'too old for proof'

Also, if considering only the low end of offers isn't accounting for unusual overpay, what is? A price under the range?

Around a month is usually the farthest you should go back. And I have no idea what you're saying in that second sentence.

You said that you still wish for me to factor in overpay for unusuals.

I thought that only looking at the low end of unusual offers was factoring that in.

Do hat range x 0.9 for unusual overpay.

I don't know why I can't reply to your latest comment. That makes most of my proof invalid except the Vintage Bills, the offer you found on the old link, and the:

-Blizzardy Storm Trophy Belt (1.5-1.8) + 10 keys = 1.9-2.2 buds [1 day ago] x0.9 for overpay == 1.7-2 buds

So out of the 7 offers, only 2 support 1.7-2.

2 support the range, and the others haven't been accepted. It would help if we could find what the last owner paid for it, but no dice.

Here there was a C/O of Smoking Stahlhelm (1.8-2.3) + Vin. Lugermorph (9 keys) = 2-2.5 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9988752

That's for the stuntsman, not the dogger. And neither was the offer of the belt or v.bills because they weren't interested.

That's what happens when I'm looking up prices for two hats at once :/

So if an owner isn't interested in a 2 bud offer, that means that the hat is worth more.

If I'm wrong with that I'll close this...seems like I fell short of enough proof here

All the offers that you listed do fall within the current range. I'd suggest maybe resubmitting the old range, with this as your proof if you want to.