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10 months old price. Lots of B/O at 1.4-1.5. Highest offers/sales at 1.5. Multiple have also sold at 1-1.2. Range=1-1.5
ACTUAL SALES
1.5 (1.65 in unusuals) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10134810 – steaming honcho
~1.4 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10200276 - sold for peace milkman + sweets
~1.2 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10538741 - bubbling attendant + planets honcho for PE jeepcap
1 (1.1 in unusuals) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10385393 – B/O 1.6; sold for ghosts pug + 2 keys - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198033976150?time=1367478000
1.1 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10364864 - sold for mirror + 5 keys in items here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10280938 (I don’t calculate reverse 10% overpay, but I will take the hats as 1:1 in value.
CURRENT TRADES
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10405145
Best Offers:
1.3 (1.45 in unusuals) – of grimm hatte - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10363075
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10218155
Best Offers:
1.5 (1.65 in unusuals) – steaming honcho
1.3 (1.45 in unusuals) – of hermes + sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10342921 - B/O 1.4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8585969 – B/O 1.5
Best Offers:
1.45 (1.6 in unusuals) – peace batters + 8 keys
1.3 – s gunslinger
1.25 (1.4 in unusuals) – smoking AA
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8624400
Best Offers:
1.5 (1.65 in unusuals) – steaming honcho
1.3 – s gunslinger
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10252027 – willing to take 1.45 (steaming waxxy + 3 keys)
1.5 (1.65 in unusuals) – steaming honcho
Conclusions: While 1 buds flat seemed low to me based on current offers, 1.5 is equally high for the high end since it is entirely based on the price of the steaming honcho which is 4 months old. Debated narrowing the range to 1.1-1.4, but decided to leave it since sales are happening at either end.
just saying that a steaming waxy and 3 keys is not 1.45. its closer to 1.5/1.55
True. I guess that gives the justification for 1.5 at the high end. I had been using the steaming honcho for the 1.5 high end, but that's a 4 month price and it's probably not worth that much.
There are constantly offer of 1.2-1.3, I think that should be the low end. Call the 1 bud one a outlier.~
How can you call 1 buds an outlier when one sold at 1.1 and one sold at 1.2?
Missed the 1.1 one.^^
I agree with Woifi , rejected offer 1.2-1.3 -lower end , outlier often the case in the selling price, the priority always a big price .
Ok, here's my rationale. There is a reason for a range:
(1) The two people who rejected 1.2-1.3 have had their trades up for MONTHS. They are trying to get high end value, and the highest offers they get are ~1.4. (the 1.5 is steaming honchos which is 4 months old)
(2) The low end is sellers willing to sell quickly. How is 1 buds an outlier (quicksell price) when one was sold for 1.1 and one was sold for 1.2?
There is a reason for a range, and it should be based on all the evidence. The whole point of providing lots of proof is to take subjectivity out of valuing hats. We can't objectively say 1 is an outlier when there are 3 sellers selling for 1-1.2.
I usually not consider a quick sale price in price range , possible sell quickly and at a good price , but usually it is compelled( sell quickly to earn on another transaction) sell and the price is much lower .1- bud low ,1.2- I do not mind .
But 2 sold for less than 1.2. And neither sold quickly. The one that sold for 1 flat had no higher offers than 1 buds for 1 week.
there is another rule-the priority has a large sale price and if there is a sale price that is much lower (here 30% of the higher price ) it is better not to consider.
maybe I'm wrong
That's a silly rule. If a hat sells consistently across a broad range, it should have a broad range. Again, why make up silly rules? The whole point is to price hats OBJECTIVELY. By making arbitrary rules and decisions about how to price things we are defeating the whole purpose of this website.
This rule is not my idea, cases like this I have had to deal with and I say that is better to do .
Example: I spent a lot of time on it : http://backpack.tf/vote/id/50f51f18ba2536a66d000000 - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/50f684a8ba25367233000000 --> http://backpack.tf/vote/id/50f7c35cba2536b101000000
Are you saying 1.1 is an outlier?