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Unsold above 1.66:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10274770 (1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9854127 - (3 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10547817 - (3 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9764428 - (3, no offers)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10492146 - (2-3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10565848 - (2-3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10561372 - (2.44)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10568389 - (2.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9881009 - (2.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10277939 - (2.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10263075 - (2-2.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10431592 - (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10588342 - (2)
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/last%20straw - (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10563095 - (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10587063 - (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10586281 - (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10244013 - (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10302063 - (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10515303 - (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10559951 - (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10528936 - (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10577646 - (1.88)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10584066 - (wants bp.tf price, about 1.77/1.88, unsold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10591218 - (1.77)
Offers /Sales of 1.66 or below:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9855425 - (wants 2, offered 1.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10400701 - (wants 2, offered 1.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10398005 - (wants 2, offered 1.66 twice)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10088571 - (wants 2, offered 1.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10256622 - (wants 2, offered 1.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10428998 - (offered 1.66, wants more)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10365303 - (declines two offers of 1.66, feels it is worth more)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9949215 - (wants 2, offered 1.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10425450 - (wanted 1.77, agrees on 1.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9818624 - (offered 1.33, and 1.66)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10449368 - (willing to sell for a 1.66 hat)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10194916 - (multiple adds for 1.66)
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/straw - (one for 1.66)
Trades with 0 offers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10528639
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10262912
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10532218
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10593872
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9949204
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8172246
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10566679
What I have tried to show is that no-one selling for above 1.66 has had any interest really. This can be attributed to a lack of demand, as illustrated by the multiple trades with absolutely no offers! However people have offered 1.66 multiple times on some trades, and there are some successful trades for people selling at 1.66.
To sum up.
No/few sales above 1.66
No offers on many trades = no demand
Multiple offers / successful trades at 1.66
Sorry if there are duped links etc etc, I am quite tired and this is my third or fourth suggestion made today!
Edit: Have just seen this too: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/518668f44bd7b8247500000f - Didn't realise someone was calling for 1.66-1.88. I feel their proof is worse than mine and their price reduction, too conservative.
This one seems better / more accurate then the other suggestion. Upvote+
Thanks, took ages in my half asleep state, so its nice to know it wasnt for nothing
Very good proof. A really good price right now for all the proof that you posted. Even in a couple days it could go down again. Upvoted+++
Thanks very much :)