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Selling for 2.33 and under
http://puu.sh/2Pwfv/0698c15f40.png - unsold at 2.33, 2 days old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10542074 - offered and accepted 2 ref
Unsold for current price / higher:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10546773 - unsold at 3 ref, no offers (4 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10164840 - unsold at 3 ref, no offers (2 weeks)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10542299 - unsold at 3 ref, 1.66 offer (4 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10460111 - unsold at 2.66 (1 week)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10549909 - unsold at 2.66 (4 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10572473 - unsold at 2.66 (3 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10593654 - unsold at 2.66 (3 days)
http://bazaar.tf/trade/212239 - unsold at 2.66 (new trade)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10639647 - unsold at 2.66 (new trade)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10644297 - unsold at bp.tf price (new trade)
No offers at all:
http://bazaar.tf/trade/176908 - no offers, wants anything within suggested price (1 month)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10290945 - 2 weeks old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10466759 - 1 week old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10579825 - 3 days old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10607808 - 2 days old
Buying successfully at new range:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9726558 - 2.22, added three days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9741615 - 1.66, within last month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10195275 - buying for 2.22, offer to sell for 2.33, 4 days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10439942 - bought 40 genuines at 1.33, unsure if any are this one, unsure if its even true
Counter proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10523474 - no longer has it, was selling for 3 ref (5 days old)
Summary:
Nobody is buying above 2.22.
Nobody is selling successfully above 2.33.
Multiple sales/sellers at 2-2.33.
Most buyers / successful sales are quicksell at the lower end of the current price. Little demand, hence all buyers are quicksellers, many trades have no offers, many cannot sell above 2.33.
This is virtually all the proof I could find. Feel free to add, counter etc.
seems legit, upvote.