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Flaming Lantern Team Captain (16-23 buds)
The price of this is a bit tricky. I watched the trades for a some weeks now and two sales happened recently and the new owners finally get more offers, so more data now.
Past sales:
#1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5561068 - sold 5 months ago
for: 11 buds + holiday headcase (4.5) + clean max (2) + milkman stormy storm (1.5) + Larrikin Robin Circling Heart (2) + Flamboyant Flamenco Orbiting Planets (1.3) + B.M.O.C (0.7) = 23 pure.
#2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8257704 - sold 5 days ago
for 16 pure
had unusuals offers worth ~20 buds before, pure buds are way more attractive.
fun fact, bought it with a scorching + ge tc (~60 buds?) back then: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/1682509 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/2173149
#3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6269293 - sold 5 months ago
cloudy crones, about 50 traded for Lantern TC + Cauldron Hairpiece (9+) + Secret Bonnet (6) + 10 buds --> tc was valued at ~25 buds maybe a bit lower ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6244251 his b/o was 26 buds).
#4
http://tf2shop.net/details/378-5-e37 - last sold for 850$ to monkey, about ~23 buds.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10252803 - sold 1 week ago
for duped vintage buds (seems like they were worth ~16 pure).
Current trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10513917 - b/o 27 buds
all my unusuals on tc ( http://backpack.tf/id/76561198067090401?time=1367564400 - bp at time of offer) = 23.6 buds in unusuals. Counting 85% overpay because of the halloween effect on the cannonbal --> ~20 pure
secret stahl 1:1 ~20 pure
duped burning cp 1:1 ~maybe 22 pure?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10269301 - b/o of 25 buds
some equal offers.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7712279
claims to have a c/o of 27 buds since months, some offers reaching 20 buds but he still thinks the c/o is valid...
Conclusion: Low end: 2 recent sales, High End: Unusuals offers. Some trades I showed are months old and are listed for aditional information.
About the big range:
Low End (Pure): Two recent sales at 16 buds, they should be in the range, even if there are some higher unusual offers (and no pure ones).
High End (Unusuals): One recent sale for 23 buds, some unusuals offers above 20.
So low end might be a bit too low and high end a bit too high. But sales happened there and I decided to make a bigger range and include all of them.
Bad move by Kickin Chickin. Guess he must've thought the lantern would end up being more some day.
He wanted it badly as a TC collector, he doesn't really care that much about the loss I guess. It was before this year halloween.