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I literally just sold my Tricorne. So I felt that perhaps I'd better re-analyse the hat. 3 month Price update
First off, I sold mine after OFFERING on a Planets Robin (19-21 according to bp.tf)
http://gyazo.com/c03f098dfdd325331c9e3241b3fec001
http://gyazo.com/9e3320bf8e03df387533076b82737c9c
And now, Evaluation!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9692110 - First offer was a N&B Liquidators (20-22. Calling it 19 keys due to unusual overpay). Was also offered 16 and 17 keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10306978 - One offer of a Steaming Safe'n'Sound (14-19 keys. Calling it 14 keys due to unusual overpay). Considering this a lowball.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7093751 - 20 keys 1 month ago. Unsure whether or not this can be called an outlier.
CONCLUSION.
This hat isn't getting any 21 key offers. It had ONE offer of 20 keys pure, and another being a Nuts Liquidators. Considering the unusual overpay, I don't treat it as more than 19 keys. And with the Larrikin I purchased with my own, after I myself offered on it, I feel 18 is a suitable end price.
Oh yes. I will also add that I also do 24 hour unusual tradeback guarantees. So I will gain nothing from this update. Hell, Nobody gains except those who want one, so thats something