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4 month old price. Needs a slight move upward.
Histories and trades on outpost are messy, some people don't own the hat, some others have probable scammed hats, etc.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9852868 - Offered 15 pure and 15 + sweets (~16)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10304721 - Offered 17 pure and somebody appears to have offered 18 keys. However, as there are several buyouts of 18 keys, that's not really valid.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10459564 - Sold for SF Flamer (~15 keys pure at the time)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10561166 - Offered black Bill's + S Huntsman + 2 keys + Shred Alert (~17 keys with item overpay)
Sale at 15 and offers around 17 dictate a 15-17 range.
Opinions, counterproof, etc., feel free to post them.