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Damn it, I sorta wanted this hat for cheap. Anyway, here's the proof. There's only 2 on Outpost right now.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10679939
Number 1. Pow! Right off the bat, the 3rd offer is 1 Bud + 1.66 + Boston Boom Bringer! Now you might be thinking, well, the owner probably got lucky and took that right away. Not even! The owner didn't even accept the offer! His most recent offer was a Steaming Waxy Wayfinder (1.3 Buds with overpay) but was however retracted after being accepted.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10680094
Here's his OTHER trade, which consists of a Steaming Bubble Pipe as well. This trade is only to show that this guy has no concern whatsoever of what backpack.tf has to say about his Unusual, and with good reason too! I'm here to fix that!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10702054
The other active one hasn't been bumped more than once or twice and already has an offer of 18 keys which is what the maximum value of the hat is. He probably didn't accept the offer or he just doesn't check OP too often. Either way, this shows that it's easy to get more than the current price range
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9759450
Pow! This is my best source of support! This guy's most recent offers include:
JustBeachy: 20 Keys
duckmangay: 1 Bud + 1 Key (accepted but the guy probably retracted or something)
Kybomb!: 1 Bud and some sweets
Chris! (Painfully Mediocre Spy): White Bills + 11 keys (got accepted since he's the current owner)
I mean, wow, that's a lot of offers above current price range! And they're all recent offers!
Also note there have been no suggestions for this hat at all and it was auto-set by backpack.tf.
If you have suggestions, please tell me to help me out!
In the meantime, wish me luck!
I still have no idea whats up with the recent increase in demand of P.fetti unusuals
Because there aren't that many on the market. You search for a nutz+boltz hat? There's 20 results. Search for fetti, tf logo, peace sign? There's usually 0, 1, or 2 of them. So supply is low.
You can still have 1 of 1 on the market logo hats and don't pull as ridiculous prices
1st owner sold his, here's the trade of the new owner:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10764174 - B/O 1.5 buds, no offers yet. I'll look through inv history to find out what he paid
So here's the trade they did:
Searing Plasma Noble Amassment of Hats (2.5-3) for Steaming Bubble Pipe (1.5-1.9) + P. Fetti Bonk Helm
This makes the Helm worth 1-1.1 buds (or 22-24 keys)
Gud. Iz Gud. You iz gud friend.
Not bad, definitely better than the old price