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This item's sales are weird. People who try to sell for 2 ref get higher offers. One even has a 3 ref offer. Most buyers aren't even quickbuyers, they're 2 ref buyers, with some success.
SOLD/WILLING BUYERS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8374742 2 ref, several willing buyers, inactive outpost user
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10673219 Selling for 2 ref but has an offer of 2.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10651087 Selling for 2 ref but accepted an offer of 2.22
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10664846 2 ref offer accepted, 2.22 offer accepted shortly after
OFFERS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6021879 2.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10676108 2.22 and 2.33 offers declined, several 2 ref offers (even though he's selling for bp.tf prices?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8813005 3 ref
BUYERS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10731724 Buying for 2 ref, new
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9359565 Buying for 2 ref, inactive trader, no recent adds for it (several "added!", but not saying for what)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10631278 Unbought at 2 ref for 5 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10452407 2 adds at 2 ref in a week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10120843 Some success at 2 ref
2 ref buyers means the price has to go up.
No need price increase, because many people will sell for higher bp.tf range
So we just ignore the people willing to pay more? Thats not how this works. Even if they are available for cheaper, we need to factor in the stupid or desperate people.