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Sells occur at 2.88 Refined, 3 Refined, but leaving 2.66 Refined and 2.77 Refined in the range is ridiculous
Selling:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10753756 (Offer of 3 Refined)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10523095 (Sold out selling for 3 Refined)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10735261 (Sold for 3 Refined
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10598766 (Offers of 2.66 Refined, 2.77 Refined. Declined)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10694926 (Offer of 2.77 Refined. Declined
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10745950 (Appears to be sold for 3 Refined. The history said he traded it, and the description says for the high price of bp.tf, which is 3 Refined
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10733901 (My trade! Sold mine in about 2 minutes of opening the trade
Buyers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10752167 (Buying at 3 Refined)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10488060 (Buying at 3 Refined)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10680081 (Buying at 2.88 Refined)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10583661 (Buying at 2.88 Refined)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6959699 (Buying at 2.88 Refined)
I could continue going on, but I think we get the idea. Most sellers brush off 2.66 Refined and 2.77 Refined. It seems that you should be happy to find offers at 2.88 Refined. 3 Refined seems like the main trend.
I will get more proof tomorrow.