- Forums
-
Pricing
- Community Pricing
- Pricegrid
- Spreadsheet
- Browse Suggestions
- Latest Changes
- Unusual Pricelist
- Browse by Item
- Browse by Effect
- Steam Community Market
- Market Pricelist
-
Trading
- Classifieds
- Classified Listings
- Utilities
- Calculator
- Premium Search
- Statistics
Hard to sell for 1 key now that keys have gone up in price. Buyers are only looking to buy with metal – many successful buyers below 5 ref. Sellers are willing to sell for 4.66 ref.
Although you may find some sales at 1 key (1 key=5-5.11 ref at the time of this post), the majority of the market seems to be at or below 5 ref.
Here are some statistics of this proof:
73 unsuccessful sellers at 1 key (55 over 1 day, 31 over 1 week)
4 successful sellers at 1 key
4 current sellers at 5 ref
3 sellers at 4.66 ref
Rejected 2 seller offers of 4.66 ref, 1 offer of key-rec
3 sales at 4.66 ref
1 sale at 4.33 ref
1 successful buyer at 4.66 ref
2 successful buyers at 4.33 ref
1 successful buyer at 4 ref
Note: 1 key sellers from 1 week ago and before should be considered equivalent to 5 ref.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BUYERS
4 ref, 1 week (19 bought – believable if you examine BP) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10523209
4.33 ref, 1 week, some interest http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10502311
4.33 ref, 1 day (5 new in stock) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10724674
4.66 ref, 1 day (4 new in stock) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10717938
5 ref, 11 hrs (not bumped – only 3 views!) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10758826
Seller offers
Key – 0.33 ref, 1 week ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10439784
4.66 ref, rejected 9 hrs ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9141315
4.66 ref, rejected both http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10724674
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Profit traders
Buying for 4 ref, 10 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10488342
Selling for 1 key, 2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10692934
Buying for 4 ref, 1 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9975564
Selling 1 key, 1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10730035
Buying for 4 ref, 22 in stock (new ID #’s – 16XXX) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10729270
Selling for 1 key (5.33 ref), 1 week – recent interest http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10509208
Buying for 4.11 ref, bought 2 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10735772
Selling for 1 key (5.11 ref), none in BP http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10736835
Buying for 4.33 ref, 5 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9141315
Selling for 1 key (5.44 ref), 1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10522238 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10753289
Buying for 4.33 ref, 1 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9883035
Selling for 1 key (5 ref), 12 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10758043
Buying 4.33 ref, 3 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10439784
Selling for 1 key, 6 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10624224
Buying for 4.66 ref, 2 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10690169
Selling for 5 ref, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10749108 - Gave up selling for 1 key http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10724859
Trading BOT
Buying for 4.44 ref, 4 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9153509
Selling for 5 ref http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9168846
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SELLERS
Classified Listings
At time of post: http://i.imgur.com/WAhV3Ox.png (They are all still in their backpacks at the time of this post.)
Selling for 4.66 ref
2 weeks, 13 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10333384
17 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10751263 Gave up 1 key after 1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10730059
5 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10767717 Gave up 1 key after 3 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10683195
Selling for 5 ref:
4 weeks, 0 in BP http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10080165
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10578980
6 days, 1/2 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10614184
13 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10758043
Sold
4.33 ref, 4 days, a buyer even passed http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10659069
4.66 ref, 6 days ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10617649
Lime – rec, 1 day ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10566909
Key – rec/ 5 ref, 5 days ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10609757
5 ref, 3 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10678637
5.11 ref, 1 day ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10490113
1 key, 4 days (5) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10659314
1 key, 4 days (2) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10646158
1 key, 1 day (9) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10726917
Unsold for 1 key
1 month, 4 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9966706
4 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10074549
3 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10099885
3 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10124478
3 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10237206 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10507643
3 weeks (barely bumped), 1/2 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10263747
2 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10267784 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10539953
2 weeks (barely bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10275519
2 weeks (barely bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10295754
2 weeks, tons in stock (barely bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10389130
2 weeks, some interest http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10401545
2 weeks, last successful 1 week ago (key=5 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10418780
2 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10431401 --> 5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10635202
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10452174
1 week (barely bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10452784
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10463611
1 week (barely bumped), only 1/3 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10469373
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10486894
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10501720
1 week, 1/2 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10515247
1 week (not bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10517086 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10710985
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10527519
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10537389
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10540397
1 week, 1/2 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10542949 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10714433
1 week, only 1/2 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10545994
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10527706
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10553008
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10557646 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10683027 --> 6 days, 1/3 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10618617
1 week, some interest http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10575099
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10595283
6 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10610990
6 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10620613 same guy http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10620619
5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10626942
5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10629586 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10670918
5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10631420
5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10636001
5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10638633
4 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10644677
4 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10647608
4 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10651137 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10749889
4 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10652628
4 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10655192
3 days (not bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10670057
3 days (not bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10677533
3 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10680097
3 days (5.11 ref), sold 1/2 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10680705
2 days (5 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10687576
2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10694861
2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10695480
2 days (not bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10699002
2 days (5.11 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10700386
2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10704524
2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10705817
2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10706445
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10712066
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10714798
1 day (5.22 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10716967
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10717364
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10718163
1 day, offered 5 ref http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10719292
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10720057
1 day, 2/3 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10721211
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10723298
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10733107
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10733373
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10733726
1 day, still in BP
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10733782[/url]closed1 day, offered 5 ref http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10727971
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10734401 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10745137
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10738514
21 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10745496
12 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10759695
Beautiful proof. Upvote! I like the colors :D haha
I was unaware of cleverpun's suggestion until now, but I have been working on this for over a day now. I'm pretty sure I know this market by heart because I literally bookmarked every single trade on OP (buyers and sellers) and then I waited for a whole day. I then looked through the backpacks of every seller and buyer, the item histories of each paint, past/current trades of every buyer/seller--everything possible that I could research.
This may be controversial, but I assure you that I did the best I could at researching every paint history that I could find and added all the information I could to remain unbiased in any way.
This took me a solid 6 hrs to complete. (cleverpun's suggestion was created 4 hrs ago)
If you don't believe me: http://i.imgur.com/2Hygdbs.png
Lol,you seem to be really entitled to your suggestions. XD
Upoted, btw!
Thanks! :)
Well, if I do something, I have to do it right. This is a highly controversial suggestion (as seen here [url]http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51905ba6ba25362b62000006[/url]), so I wanted to get irrefutable proof to kind of mitigate the disputes as much as possible. I am still expecting a riot tomorrow when everyone gets up and sees these 2 suggestions lol. I guess we'll wait and see.
That was beautiful, it has colours and everything. Good job :D Upvote I guess ;D
New trades:
Profit Trader
Buying for 1 key - 1 ref, 2 new http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10688602
Selling for 1 key, 1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10751998
Selling for 4 ref
1 hr http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10782049
Selling for 4.66 ref
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10760394
Selling for 4.77 ref
1 hr http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10781236
Selling for 5 ref
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10761481
9 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10773115
Selling for 1 key
1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10527706 <-- don't know how i missed this one
3 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10698010 or this one
2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10729770 missed this one too
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10737486
1 day (5.33 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10743972
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10751512
1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10760820
23 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10762995
22 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10763379
21 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10763849
20 hrs, 1/2 sold (but no keys in BP) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10765411
19 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10766184
18 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10767555
17 hrs (5.11 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10768286
17 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10768689
16 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10769334
16 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10769384
15 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10769847
14 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10770891
11 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10772266
10 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10772721
8 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10773526
7 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10774901
6 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10775950
5 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10776844 sold to (4 hrs) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10777926
4 hrs (5.33 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10778101
3 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10779747
2 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10779747
1 hr http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10781271
<1 hr http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10783061
Now, the whole Pink Paint market on Outpost is on one page for you to see.
I suggest someone buy some paint from the 4 ref seller and sell it to the 4.66 ref buyer :P
I was so fucking against this at first. But you provide just too much proof for me to counter. Thank you for providing plenty of proof. However, I do think that it is still possible, although difficult, to get 1 key for it.
http://puu.sh/2SpSg.png
http://puu.sh/2SpTC.png
http://puu.sh/2SpTS.png
http://puu.sh/2SpXP.png
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10659314 add and oos
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10737486 add comment. i know it is for pink because he also commented here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10636001
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9759627 lot of adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10595779 add
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10618617 sold 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10401545 add for pink
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10575099 guy will buy 3 for 3 keys soon
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10418780 3 adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10080165 add
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4918308 a few 1 key offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9413334 offer of 2 keys for 2
http://puu.sh/2Sqaj.png
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10582881 ts paint offer for pink
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9384403 added for pink
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10595283 offer of wrap for pink.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10251277 Had at least 8, stock is 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10610990 Ignores 5 ref impure offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10595283 Offer of gift wrap (something you know oh so well)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10659314 Sold 5, out of stock
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10618617 Sold 2 of 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10401545 One "add", one says added for pink
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4309578 been on OP forever, offer of 1 key 1 month ago (at time of last change to 1 key flat)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10636254 Declines 5 ref offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10575099 "reserve 3, getting keys soon", denies lime merc's muffler for 2 (valuing paint at half value, that's 2.1-2.25 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10636815 added at one key.
Either way, I'm staying neutral on both suggestions, although I do think this one is better.
I know that some have adds but sometimes it doesn't mean that it's a willing buyer for that specific price. One could say "Added", and then offer some overpaid items or something. Many of the sellers still have the paint in their BP after comments of "adds."
Also, some of those screenshots are really old.
It's just simply inefficient to put up a trade of 1 key, and hope that you are part of that 10% that gets a willing buyer.
Totally understandable, just tryin' to play devil's advocate.
Wow, you put a lot of work in to this.