Hard to sell for 1 key now that keys have gone up in price. Buyers are only looking to buy with metal – many successful buyers below 5 ref. Sellers are willing to sell for 4.66 ref.

Although you may find some sales at 1 key (1 key=5-5.11 ref at the time of this post), the majority of the market seems to be at or below 5 ref.

Here are some statistics of this proof:

73 unsuccessful sellers at 1 key (55 over 1 day, 31 over 1 week)

4 successful sellers at 1 key

4 current sellers at 5 ref

3 sellers at 4.66 ref

Rejected 2 seller offers of 4.66 ref, 1 offer of key-rec

3 sales at 4.66 ref

1 sale at 4.33 ref

1 successful buyer at 4.66 ref

2 successful buyers at 4.33 ref

1 successful buyer at 4 ref

Note: 1 key sellers from 1 week ago and before should be considered equivalent to 5 ref.

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BUYERS

4 ref, 1 week (19 bought – believable if you examine BP) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10523209

4.33 ref, 1 week, some interest http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10502311

4.33 ref, 1 day (5 new in stock) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10724674

4.66 ref, 1 day (4 new in stock) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10717938

5 ref, 11 hrs (not bumped – only 3 views!) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10758826

Seller offers

Key – 0.33 ref, 1 week ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10439784

4.66 ref, rejected 9 hrs ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9141315

4.66 ref, rejected both http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10724674

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Profit traders

Buying for 4 ref, 10 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10488342

Selling for 1 key, 2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10692934

Buying for 4 ref, 1 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9975564

Selling 1 key, 1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10730035

Buying for 4 ref, 22 in stock (new ID #’s – 16XXX) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10729270

Selling for 1 key (5.33 ref), 1 week – recent interest http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10509208

Buying for 4.11 ref, bought 2 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10735772

Selling for 1 key (5.11 ref), none in BP http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10736835

Buying for 4.33 ref, 5 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9141315

Selling for 1 key (5.44 ref), 1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10522238 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10753289

Buying for 4.33 ref, 1 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9883035

Selling for 1 key (5 ref), 12 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10758043

Buying 4.33 ref, 3 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10439784

Selling for 1 key, 6 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10624224

Buying for 4.66 ref, 2 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10690169

Selling for 5 ref, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10749108 - Gave up selling for 1 key http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10724859

Trading BOT

Buying for 4.44 ref, 4 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9153509

Selling for 5 ref http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9168846

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SELLERS

Classified Listings

At time of post: http://i.imgur.com/WAhV3Ox.png (They are all still in their backpacks at the time of this post.)

Selling for 4.66 ref

2 weeks, 13 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10333384

17 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10751263 Gave up 1 key after 1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10730059

5 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10767717 Gave up 1 key after 3 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10683195

Selling for 5 ref:

4 weeks, 0 in BP http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10080165

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10578980

6 days, 1/2 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10614184

13 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10758043

Sold

4.33 ref, 4 days, a buyer even passed http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10659069

4.66 ref, 6 days ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10617649

Lime – rec, 1 day ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10566909

Key – rec/ 5 ref, 5 days ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10609757

5 ref, 3 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10678637

5.11 ref, 1 day ago http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10490113

1 key, 4 days (5) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10659314

1 key, 4 days (2) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10646158

1 key, 1 day (9) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10726917

Unsold for 1 key

1 month, 4 in stock http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9966706

4 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10074549

3 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10099885

3 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10124478

3 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10237206 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10507643

3 weeks (barely bumped), 1/2 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10263747

2 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10267784 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10539953

2 weeks (barely bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10275519

2 weeks (barely bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10295754

2 weeks, tons in stock (barely bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10389130

2 weeks, some interest http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10401545

2 weeks, last successful 1 week ago (key=5 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10418780

2 weeks http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10431401 --> 5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10635202

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10452174

1 week (barely bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10452784

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10463611

1 week (barely bumped), only 1/3 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10469373

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10486894

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10501720

1 week, 1/2 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10515247

1 week (not bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10517086 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10710985

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10527519

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10537389

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10540397

1 week, 1/2 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10542949 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10714433

1 week, only 1/2 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10545994

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10527706

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10553008

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10557646 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10683027 --> 6 days, 1/3 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10618617

1 week, some interest http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10575099

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10595283

6 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10610990

6 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10620613 same guy http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10620619

5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10626942

5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10629586 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10670918

5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10631420

5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10636001

5 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10638633

4 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10644677

4 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10647608

4 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10651137 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10749889

4 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10652628

4 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10655192

3 days (not bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10670057

3 days (not bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10677533

3 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10680097

3 days (5.11 ref), sold 1/2 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10680705

2 days (5 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10687576

2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10694861

2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10695480

2 days (not bumped) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10699002

2 days (5.11 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10700386

2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10704524

2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10705817

2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10706445

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10712066

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10714798

1 day (5.22 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10716967

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10717364

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10718163

1 day, offered 5 ref http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10719292

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10720057

1 day, 2/3 sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10721211

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10723298

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10733107

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10733373

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10733726

1 day, still in BP [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10733782[/url] closed

1 day, offered 5 ref http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10727971

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10734401 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10745137

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10738514

21 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10745496

12 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10759695

I was unaware of cleverpun's suggestion until now, but I have been working on this for over a day now. I'm pretty sure I know this market by heart because I literally bookmarked every single trade on OP (buyers and sellers) and then I waited for a whole day. I then looked through the backpacks of every seller and buyer, the item histories of each paint, past/current trades of every buyer/seller--everything possible that I could research.

This may be controversial, but I assure you that I did the best I could at researching every paint history that I could find and added all the information I could to remain unbiased in any way.

This took me a solid 6 hrs to complete. (cleverpun's suggestion was created 4 hrs ago)

If you don't believe me: http://i.imgur.com/2Hygdbs.png

New trades:

Profit Trader

Buying for 1 key - 1 ref, 2 new http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10688602

Selling for 1 key, 1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10751998

Selling for 4 ref

1 hr http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10782049

Selling for 4.66 ref

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10760394

Selling for 4.77 ref

1 hr http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10781236

Selling for 5 ref

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10761481

9 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10773115

Selling for 1 key

1 week http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10527706 <-- don't know how i missed this one

3 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10698010 or this one

2 days http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10729770 missed this one too

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10737486

1 day (5.33 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10743972

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10751512

1 day http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10760820

23 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10762995

22 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10763379

21 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10763849

20 hrs, 1/2 sold (but no keys in BP) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10765411

19 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10766184

18 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10767555

17 hrs (5.11 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10768286

17 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10768689

16 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10769334

16 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10769384

15 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10769847

14 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10770891

11 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10772266

10 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10772721

8 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10773526

7 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10774901

6 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10775950

5 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10776844 sold to (4 hrs) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10777926

4 hrs (5.33 ref) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10778101

3 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10779747

2 hrs http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10779747

1 hr http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10781271

<1 hr http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10783061

Now, the whole Pink Paint market on Outpost is on one page for you to see.

I suggest someone buy some paint from the 4 ref seller and sell it to the 4.66 ref buyer :P