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I was having a hard time getting 2 refined for this item so I decided to investigate a bit. The market is flooded with people selling for 2 ref but no one's interested. There's plenty of (successful) buyers for 1.33 ref, and a few buyers and sellers who've compromised on 1.66, but as far as I can tell, very few recent successful sellers at 2 ref:
Trade.TF price tracking
http://trade.tf/price/1019/1 (dropped from 2 ref on 5/15 to 1.45 ref currently)
Unsold for 2 ref
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/genuine%20blind%20justice (6 unsold; up to 6 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10296664 (3 weeks ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10852062 (<1 day ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10848794 (<1 day ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10867728 (<1 day ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10819207 (rejected 1.77, asked for 2 ref; 2 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10839017 (1 day ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10861236 (<1 day ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10866158 (<1 day ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10818074 (rejected 1.66 ref; 2 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10827771 (1 day ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10628711 (rejected 1.66 ref; 1 week ago)
Selling/Sold for 1.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10839708
http://www.reddit.com/r/tf2trade/comments/1eilj3/h_genuine_wilson_weave_and_more_hats_w_166_each/
Selling/Sold for 1.33 ref
http://www.reddit.com/r/tf2trade/comments/1eenk2/store_some_things_i_dont_need_anymore/
Offers of 1.66 ref (copies)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10628711
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10818074
Buying/Bought for 1.44 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10195168
Buying/Bought for 1.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9992499
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10072533
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10808070
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10721672
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10631055
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10782738
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10566980
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10839612
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9856857
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10531595
And lastly, here's the one I bought for 1.22 ref: http://i.imgur.com/tsess0f.png
I know this one is under my range, but considering scrap.tf would automatically buy it for 1.33 ref, putting 1.22 ref in the range would be silly.
Counterproof showing recent successful sales at 2 ref is welcome.
Thoughts?
hmm, most of your 1.33 buying trades have no comments or adds
I actually went through them all. Half of them either have comments/adds specifically for the G. Blind Justice, or they have G. Blind Justices in their backpacks, indicated they successfully bought them.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9992499 has 1, don't know when bought
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10072533 none in backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10808070 none in backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10721672 none in backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10631055 none in backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10782738 none in backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10566980 none in backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10839612 none in backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9856857 has 1, don't know when bought
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10531595 has 1, don't know when bought
i don't think so...
So that's three that have them in their backpack, and that just excludes the ones that have comments/adds?
Here's another link of buyer of 1.44
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10444227
Sold for 2 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10748434
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10799231
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9435441
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9436728
You'll get a ton of upvotes. But my sense is that 1.33 is too soft.
The thing is, the first two were sold before the value on trade.tf dropped. That doesn't make them much less important, but it should be taken into account.
The last two, there's no way to verify if the trades were just cancelled or the items were actually sold.
They were sold. No longer in their bp. And I think any sales in the last 2 weeks should be fair game since the last suggestion was a month ago. As it is, I restricted trades to those <1 week old. I found lots sold for 2 ref 1-2 weeks ago.
I sold mine for 2 refined, no problem.
http://i.imgur.com/Ao9NPCa.png
Sold mine for 2 ref just now. Im not saying that im using my trade as proof because i held onto this hat for 3 weeks now without any offers.
Range should be 1.66-2 Ref, most of the 1.33 Ref buyers don't have any adds.
Range should be 1.66 - 2, 2 is possible but hard and 1.33 are quicksells which shouldn't affect price
Sold mine for 2 ref as well but it was a bit of a hassle
I sold mine for 2 ref lulz
A number of 2 ref unsolds have sold and comments are pretty adamant on keeping 2 ref in range...