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None of these are being sold on classifieds and only 1 page and 2 trades on op
Proof:
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10767339 - Sold 2 or more at 1 key 1 ref and sold 1 at 1 key 3 ref, all this within 5 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10822440 - Got added for 1.5 keys, not in his backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10715143 - Got added for high end which is 1.5 keys, has tons in his backpack but I think it sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10843901 - Got added for 1 key and 2.77 ref, not in his backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10555599 - Sold for 1 key and 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9478379 - Got added 6 days ago for 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10324475 - Got added for 2, not in his backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10113848 - I see 3 recent adds for 2
Buyers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8380750 - 3 months old, he's buying for 4 ref like most of buyers (but it's irrelevant because it's under low end and they also don't succeed in buying) and he bought 1, and btw price was 3.66 – 4.66 when trade was opened, 2 months ago it was changed to 4 – 4.66 and 1 month ago it was changed to 1 – 1.5 keys so if he bought 1 in 3 months with auto bump that tells us something
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10897629 - He's buying for a key, only few hours old so it's too young but lets keep an eye on this
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10869151 - He's buying for a key, only few hours old so it's too young but lets keep an eye on this
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10251460 - He's trying to buy for 4.33 ref or a key ( I guess that was key's worth at that time) except for 1 add 3 weeks ago, I can't see any adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10706947 - Buying for 1 key and it's 1 week old yet no add, also he left only heavies killed in his wishlist so I guess he didn't get it
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10756875 - He's buying for 5.33 ref which is 1 key or 1 key and a scrap, I can't see adds and it's 5 days old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10365416 - Buying for 1 key and 0.66 ref, can't see an add and it's 3 weeks old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10817699 - He's buying for 6 ref (~1.2 keys) and 1 success within 1 day but a normal buyer is odd and if it was that good why only 1 add?
Finding any of these for key or less is almost impossible, there are 1 page and 2 trades on op opened and 0 on classifieds
Since I have a buyer for ~1.2 keys with 1 success within 2 days and a seller who sold many for 1 key 1 ref which is also ~1.2 keys I think 1.2 should be low end and even though I have some that sold for 2 I think high end shouldn't be 2 because it's still too soon, but I might try to suggest something with 2 soon if more sell for that
If there's anything wrong tell me and I might close or re-suggest
Seems good.
Upvote.EDIT: Hmm, wait. What are those 2 key sales doing there? Shouldn't the upper bound be increased then?
I suppose they're just outliers that can kinda prove that price should go up.
But not so high up because there's only few 2 key sales.
Yes, but they all got added.
1.2 - 2 is way too big for a range and for an item like this, since there are some 1.2 sellers it should be in range, the 2 keys sellers are to show that this item can go even higher and that some kind of increase must happen