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These keys cost the same at the mann co. store as the normal keys, but since they are new, the price should be slightly higher. Most people are selling for 2 keys, but the number of buyers is low and most are unsold. Most of the adds in the classifieds are for 1.5 keys. On other recent price suggestions, most people are for a price of 1-2 keys, so 1.5 seems fair.
Proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10912632 5:8, 1.6 keys each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10873367 1 key each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10912540 1 key + 2.33 ref (1.45 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10910452 1 key + 3 ref (1.6 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10912929 1 key + 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10909985 1 key + 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10912667 1 key + 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10908026 1 key + 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10912861 1 key + 2 ref (1.4 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10911137 1.5 keys each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10898293 1 key + 2.55 ref (1.5 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10912128 1 key +2.55 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10935432 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10935423 7 ref (around 1.4 keys)
http://trade.tf/price/5636/-1 (trade.tf tracks every trade and determines the average price, in this case 1.4 keys. The min average price is 1.3, the max is 1.7)
Constructive Criticism appreciated.
Logic doesn't dictate the market. People do.
Maybe a price of 1-1.5 keys could work and get some proof to go along with it? The thought up price for 2 keys is died because the rush is gone.
I haven't been here long, but isn't it too early to call it? I mean the update only came out a day ago. Also, no proof. Logic also says that all these items aren't worth a damn thing in the first place since it's all digital, yet you don't see people handing out unusuals because of it.
Updated with proof
Well, yesterday I did a suggestion but people said it was to early, See if this helps
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10891082 sold multiple for 1.8 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10880026 2 robokeys for 3 normal keys (1 key 3 ref/ 1.6keys) added
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10883652 selling 1key 4 ref
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/5636/600/0 MANY selling for 1.5 and succesfully selling it
1.75 ones (some don’t have in their bp)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10886675 added for 1 key + 2ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10893585 fknife and a ref offer.(approx 2 ref OVERPAY makes it 1.8keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10882797 sold 1 for 1.8keys see item history
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10881689 1 key + tomb wrapper (1.5 counting overpay) + festive wrench offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10893140 selling for 1.6keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10874691 sold 13 for 2 keys (but I see many failing to sell for this price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10875326 offer of merc muffler andhigh five taunt, fknife , s sticky and 1 ref for 2
1 key 2.33 (nearly 1.5) offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10893033 sold multiple for 1.5
Thanks, this helps
Thanks a ton for COPYING THE PROOF FORM MY SUGGESTION
As I said already, I used the same proof as you because it is in the range I am suggesting. If you have any problem with that, or if you are unhappy about this, let me know and I will change it
Some counterproof
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10938287 (1 key 1 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10937976 (1 key 1 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10933447 (1 key 2 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10929447 (1 key 2 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10888223 (1 key 2 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10930828 (1 key 1.33 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10937102 (1 key 2.5 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10898293 (1 key 2.5 ref)
Going to find more, I myself have bought some ranging form 1 key 1 ref to 1 key 2 ref.
Another couple of trades doing 2:3 / 1:1.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10883075
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10894763
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10919646
no proof.
but the price seems right.
I'm currently searching for proof, but most people are selling at 2 keys/2 keys 1ref and the trades who sell for less are instantly gone...
you better find proof soon or else everyone will downvote.
Found some proof
And quite a few sold for 1.4
hmmm, yeah i guess you are right
If your range was 1-1.5, I could put up some screenies at 1 key.
YOU COPIED THE PROOF FROM MY SUGGESTION
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5197aff0ba2536de44000004
I used the same proof as you because it is in the range I am suggesting. If you have any problem with that, or if you are unhappy about this, let me know and I will change it
At this rate they may be 1 - 1.5 keys by tomorrow. The rush has died down. But they are defiantly going for less than 2
sold many at 2 keys today and even bought a bills for 4 robo keys. Should be 1.5-2 keys