http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10615534

Offers:

3 buds 2 times

Flaming Lantern Medic's Mountain Cap (3.4-4.1)

Harvest Moon Doctors Sack (2.9-3.6)

Flaming Lantern Defiant Spartan (3.4-4.3)

Orbiting Heart Private Eye (3-3.6)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8272373

Offers:

3 buds 4 times

3 buds 5 keys

3 buds 10 keys

2 buds 40 keys

3 buds 22 keys

$140

$130

Plus many more 3ish bud unusual offers hidden

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9330288

Offers:

Flaming Lantern Defiant Spartan (3.4-4.3)

Stormy Storm Beak (3.2-3.8)

Flaming Lantern Medic's Mountain Cap (3.4-4.1)

1 TS Vintage Bills 2 buds

3 buds

Conclusion: This 4 month old price is really outdated. Most if the owners of these hats aren't even considering anything below 3.5 buds but they will take around 4. Also most of the pure offers fall in this range and the decent unusual offers also.