[proof below] seems like the filament is hitting this one here xD

Some sellers below 4.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11004868 (4.33)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11025016 (4.33)

A couple more in classifieds, probably more on outpost too

Some Sellers at 4.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11009583 (4.66) <---- under a day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11016832 (4.66) <----under a day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11002858 (4.66) <----under a day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11004696 (4.66, 1 day)

Classifieds (at time of posting)

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/571/6/0

http://imgur.com/YZAzq2o

- 1 seller at 4 refs

- 2 sellers at 4.33

- 1 seller at 4.44

- 6 sellers at 4.66 <<<<

Successful/adds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10871517 (4.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10966444 (4.66)

Unsolds (I assumed 1 key ~ 5 refs)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10932644 (4.77, 2 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10956177 (5 refs, 2 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10947158 (5 refs, 2 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10864624 (5 refs, 4 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10979391 (5 ref, 1 day)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10815293 (5 refs, 5 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10787822 (1 key, 1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10929394 (5 ref, 2 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10980149 (1 key 1 day)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10827771 (1 key, 3 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10928553 (5 refs, 2 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10931501 (5 refs, 2 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10902531 (1 key, 3 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10903933 (5 refs, 3 days)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10856777 (5 refs, 4 days)

Isnt that hard to find at 4.66 refs, a few sellers at 4.33 are popping up. 5 refs is unsold for days, why buy at 5 refs if you can easily buy for 4.66 or less?

I think a conservative bump down is in order :)

NOTE: I have kept some of the trades that are under 1 day old and have labeled them as sometimes it does take a while for a suggestion to be accepted/rejected...etc