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NB! Please examine the proof before you vote!
Updating 4 months old price. Decent supply and demand. All offers at and below 3.5 buds rejected, one recently sold for slightly above 3.5 buds. Many offers between 3.5 and 4.1 buds rejected, some sold at 3.8 and 3.9 buds. One recently sold for 4.5 buds, but considered an outlier. High end set at 4 buds, which is the highest non-retracted offered price by people other than the one who bought at 4.5 buds and also the lowest B/O. B/O's above 4 buds, other than the outlier, all unsold.
3.2-3.9 => 3.5-4.0
SOLD:
1. Sold at 3.55 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10596023
S: 2 weeks, B/O 4.5 buds, sold for planets fuka + p.fetti pencil + 2 buds (3.55 buds)
D: stormy chapeau + 1.5 buds (3.3 buds), rejected; hearts hermes (around 2.7 buds), rejected; 4.5 buds, retracted
2. Sold at 3.8 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10373872
S: 3 weeks, B/O 4-5 buds, sold for burning bonk helm (3.8 buds)
D: p.e. pot (2.9 buds), rejected
3. Sold at 3.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10397831
S: 3 weeks, B/O 4.5 buds, sold for peace kabuto + max + sweets (around 3.9 buds)
4. Highest offer 4 buds, sold at 4.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9200918
S: 2 months, sold for 4.5 buds 2 days ago
D(last month): max + bud (3.2 buds), rejected; peace tyrant's + 2 buds (3.75 buds), rejected; stormy canonball (3.1 buds), rejected; stormy merry + stormy salty (around 3.4 buds); max + bud + 14keys + 5-8keys in sweets (around 4 buds), rejected; stormy veil (3.5 buds), rejected; burning dixie (3 buds), rejected; smoking reggae + steaming swag + bubbling fedora (3.3 buds), rejected
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Currently selling:
5. Highest offer: 3.8 buds (4 buds, by the person who bought for 4.5 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7680374
S: 4 months, B/O 4 buds
D(last month): 1bud + $114 (around 3.8 buds), retracted; 13th hour hotrod (3 buds), rejected; vivid shako + 1bud + bill's (around 3 buds), rejected; 3.33 buds, rejected; 2 buds + blizz. regae (3.5 buds); burning dixie (3 buds); storm chapeau + 1.5 buds (3.3 buds), rejected; planets fuka + p.fetti pencil + 1bud + 17keys (3.3 buds), rejected; 4 buds, retracted
6. Highest offer 3.2 buds (4.5 buds by the outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10428352
S: 3 weeks, B/O 4.5 buds
D: stormy tyrant's + bill's (2.6 buds); ghosts grenadier's + black bill's (2.6 buds); 3 buds; lantern mountain cap (3.2 buds); 4.5 buds
7. Highest offer 4.1 buds (4.5 buds by the outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8775094
S: 2 months
D(last month): scorching festivizer + 1 bud (3 buds), rejected; planets brainiac + sweets (3.1 buds), rejected; n&b barnstormer (around 3.4 buds), rejected; searing texas + 1bud + bill's (2.8 buds), rejected; stormy brainiac + sweets (3.2 buds), rejected; blizz. hwnn + blizz.ywn + bill's (3.5 buds), rejected; 13th hotrod (3 buds), rejected; holiday headcase + n&b pencil (around 4.1 buds), rejected; 4 buds; storm chapeau + 1.5buds (3.3 buds), rejected; vivid hwnn + sweets (3.1 buds), rejected; 4.5 buds, late
8. Highest offer 3.4 buds (4.5 by the outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7800675
S: 4 months, B/O 5 buds
D(last month): planets brainiac (3.1 buds), rejected; s.f.sticky + s.f.grenade + s.gunslinger (2.8 buds), retracted; stormy merry + stormy salty (around 3.4 buds), rejected; stormy brainiac (3.2 buds), rejected; stormy honcho + bmoc + s.f.huntsman (2.6 buds), rejected; 13th hour hotrod (3 buds), rejected; n&b team captain (2.8 buds), rejected; bubbling KE (3.2 buds), rejected; 4.5 buds, late
9. Highest offer 3.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8970658
S: 2 months, B/O 5 buds
D(last month): misty skull nano + sweets (3.2 buds), rejected; ghosts topper + 10 keys (2.7 buds), rejected; 90 keys (3.9 buds), considered; cloudy moon ketche + sweets (3 buds), rejected; sunbeams beret (2.9 buds), rejected; lantern mountain cap (3.2 buds), rejected
10. Highest offer 3.8 buds (4.5 buds by the outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10050626
S: 1 month
D: stormy merry + stormy salty (around 3.4 buds), rejected; stomry modest (around 3.6 buds), rejected; burning bonk helm (3.8 buds), rejected; 4.5 buds, retracted
11. Highest offer 3.5 buds (4.5 buds by the outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10114788
S: 1 month, promos only
D: burning dixie (3 buds), rejected; 2 buds + blizz. reggae (3.5 buds), rejected; 4.5 buds, retracted
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All unusual prices after overpay.
S - supply (time, B/Os, final sales price)
D - demand (offers)
you an just remove any and all retracted offers and low offers, this makes your proof easier to look at
nah, I like to represent the whole market. made some adjustments, should be more readable now.