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Have seen quite a few trades of these with 2 ref as the price, so, going to suggest 2 ref as a rough estimate, proof shown in the following links
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10935447
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11030779
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11011193
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10955426
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11027858
As much as I would want it this price (STEEL SHAKO FOR 2 HUMAN ORGANS), all except for the first link are unsold at 2 ref.
I think 1.66-2 is about right for this one. Even 1.66 flat. Lots unsold at 2 and I've seen several sellers at 1.66
a stout shako for 2 refined seems a little cliche
Selling != Sold. You have one sale, find more
Also seen a few sellers trying to get 1 key for them
1.77: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10965772
1.33: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10879209 and http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11005075
[insert demopan reference]
Found some trades under 2 ref, it's way too random. :s
Says in robot demoman voice: Steel shako for 2 refined!
good god this is actually happening
noh. can nots hapens! anti demopan army must stop it!
Sold for 2.44
[url]http://i.imgur.com/itQCMBd.png[/url]
Did we not see this coming?
But only one of these has sold, it's more likely to be 1.66 as others have suggested.