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Please read proof before voting, I'm aware I own one as I just bought it. This is my first unusual price suggestion, tell me if I'm doing something wrong.
For offers in unusuals I have counted 90% of their backpack.tf value (in other words, the values you see here are already 10% off the backpack.tf price). The only hats I can find on the market are duped, so maybe a clean one can fetch a bit more? I am not sure though, this is all I have to base myself on.
My own trade, no offers yet but only half a day old at time of writing: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11038968
The previous owner's trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10914042
Offers:
Vivid Plasma Ballcap = 3.4 - 3.95 buds
3 buds + 16 keys pure
I ended up buying it for.. around 4.3 (white max + buds + 16 keys + some keys in sweets iirc), tell me if you need trade inventory screenshots
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10434985
His other trade was for a full set. The other items in the set are worth about 0.5 bud. If a buyer didn't state if offering specifically for the hat or for the entire set, I put the value of their offer - 0.5 buds in brackets behind it, as I assume that is what they would offer at least for the hat alone. No value in brackets means the buyer specified they were offering on the hat alone.
Offers
Clean black Max + 2 buds = 4.4 buds (3.9)
GE Beret + O. Fire Billycock + Bills + 16 keys + 20 ref = ~2.8 buds in unusual + 28 keys = 3.8 buds or so
Cloudy Moon Tam O' Shanter = 4-5 buds (3.5-4.5)
Clean PE slug = 3.8 - 4.1 buds (retracted when he found out hat was duped)
5 buds gathering (4.5 for hat alone)
3 buds + 16 keys (different guy than from other trade)
His older trade (offers still less than a month ago): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10390154
Offers
Eerie Handle + Planets Snaggle + G. Fetti Private Eye = ~3.5-3.9
Only other PE Napper's on Outpost right now: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10862794
Offers
3.5 pure for Napper's, then some Russian insults (?)
His other trade, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9728497 :
Offers
Max + SF Rocket Launcher = 4.2-4.4 buds
Burning Noir = 3.1 - 3.4
http://www.tf2pricecheck.net/Thread-PC-Purple-Energy-Napper-s-Respite - Most recent poster claims he sold his for 4.33-4.5 but I can't find proof of it.
In conclusion, this hat seems to get enough 3.5 or higher offers that I think the lower end can be bumped a bit. I put the high end at 4.2 for now; I think I ended up paying around 4.3, another guy has offered Max + SF RL which is also in that range, and there are some unusual offers reaching it.