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It has been 4 months. Time for a new price. I am listing all the trades on outpost, with history for the newer ones. Please leave comments with suggestions and counter proof. Thanks.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11224392:
Asking 17 keys, very new trade
History: could not find sale from previous owner within 4 months
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10433038:
Four weeks old, sold for $35 (about 19 keys)
History: no sales by previous owner in the last 3 months
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11028467:
Selling as a set, no offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10774905:
same guy as above, now asking for 1 bud pure for this hat. (2 weeks old). no offers.
History:
Previous Owner: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10657415 sold for 17 keys
Original Owner: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9870439 sold for a bud! (24 keys)
Hmmm...
1st trade: B/Os don't mean crap.
2nd Trade: Ok 19 Keys...
3rd Trade: Why list it then?
4th trade: Ok sold for 17 Keys and a bud.
Basically. Where the hell does your range come from? I don't see anything about 16 or 20 Keys...
By your suggested proof, a better range would be 17 - 24 Keys.