Several sales contradict this price.

Sold:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10837681 Sold for 3 Buds, had an offer of a holiday headcase.

Proof: http://i.imgur.com/ZhllGRA.jpg

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10830710 Sold for a SF Scattergun(Reason for the low value).

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10673957 Sold for 3 Buds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11040917 Sold for Holiday Headcase ( http://backpack.tf/item/644096856 )

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10673957 Sold for 3 Buds + 3-5 Keys.

Current Trades:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10822376 Best offer so far is a lvl 1 max + sf mini( 2.7 Buds after item overpay).

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10601960 Missed out on the 3 Bud + 3 Keys offer.

Conclusion:

Low value due to the one quicksell for a SF Scattergun (not my choice to consider a quicksell and base the value on the one quicksell at that price)

High value due to several sales at 3, I'm not going with the 3 bud + 5 key sale due to it being a single sale and the change of bud prices.