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Updating 3 month old price
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11087880 Sold for Scorching Bombing run + Logo Milkman + small sweets ( 3.7 After unusual overpay).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11155065 Sold Green energy PE(2.5) Steaming KE and Stormy CM (2.3) for a cloudy moon slug(9.5). After basic arithmatic the KE would have been 4.7(Account for unusual overpay 4.7*0.9= 4.23)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11073561
Sold for 3 buds and 22 Keys (3.9)
Current Trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11073859 B/O 5 Buds C/Os 4 Buds, V fan o war + S Gunslinger (3.8-4.5, 3.7 after item overpay)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10303569 B/O 6 Buds C/Os Eerie O. Fire Milkman( 4.1-5.2 , 4.1 after unusual overpay)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9766079 B/O 6
C/Os Eerie O. Fire Swagman ( 4.2-5.4 , 4.2 After unusual overpay)
Conclusion:
Low Value for the Bombing run + logo Milkman sale, 3.7 after unusual overpay.
High Value for the trade involved for the Cloudy Slug, 4.3 after unusual overpay.
After thorough searching I have not found any evidence or sales to put this hat near 5 Buds.
the milkman is actually going up, and how do you know that one of the unusuals isn't outdated. thats the risky thing by using sales that include other hats.
Id look for more recent sales to try to prove your case
besides the 3.9 sale was quickselling at 4 buds anyway.
look for other sales plz
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11073859 - rejected 4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11166061 - rejected steaming tower, bubbling protector, 15 robo keys, and 8 normal keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9331572 - rejected orbiting fire tuff muffs
ill collect more proof wether it be counter or helpful after school.
These are the most recent sales, that 3 bud 22 keys sale was this week, and I dont know what is more reliable or convincing than a pure sale(since their was another sale at a lower price makes the fact it was a quicksell less relevant).Feel free to provide anything more recent than the 3 I provided that isn't in this range.
Rejected offers does not prove that the price is incorrect, sales do.
I'm assuming you mean the logo milkman since it is the more relevant one but the price on that was updated 3 weeks ago, and on the other hand again we have the sale at 3.9 pure.
And if we can't use the prices on this website as comparisons, than what is the point of the prices?
I feel really awkward posting this because I actually traded for the KE mentioned, but the milkman is definitely more than 1.4. I got a pure offer of 1.8 on it less than a day after I put it up.
i dont think the 3.9 sale should be the middle value, but perhaps a lowend, as I said above the sale with the milkman is not that low and with what chris said below, would actually be around 3.9-4 ish.
the rejected offers are counter proof to your range showing that sellers are unwilling to do 4, so why would they do anything lower? its not the best proof, but its still proof.
again im saying look for more sales, and use that to help prove your range.
if its sold 3 times in a week, theres bound to be more recent sales in the past month.
i was actually considering looking into this hats price xD
but you are right that it needs a drop, but probably not that steep
your link 1 sold for scorching bombing run + logo milkman -- valued at 3.8 buds.
the low range could be a tad higher (meaning 3.8?)
With the values of 1.4 for the milkman and 2.7 for the bombing run, thats 4.1 using the average price of both. Using the unusual overpay formula of 4.1*0.9 = 3.69, if minor sweets is enough to warrant a new suggestion then so be it, in the meantime ill wait for more opinions.
fair enough
however the milkman is not 1.4 as chris has shown in his suggestion.
yeh i saw