FULL DISCLOSURE:

#1 I just bought this hat, but before I bought it I did a TON of research. Rules state its ok to suggest on your own hat, right?

#2 This is my first price suggestion, but I have read this twice:

[url]http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/7-how-to-create-a-good-unusual-price-suggestion[/url]

#3 All math is based on these values: Buds at $38, 1 Bud = 24 keys (what I am currently buying for)

#4 Because I own the hat, all values will assume the lowest bp.tf value or lowest estimates.

So please instead of beating me up, help me if you have criticism? Because I own the hat Thanks : )

Price Estimates (according to the rules):

Low-end: 4.3 (lower past sales + commonly offered amount)

High-end: 5.7 (reasonable past sales + slightly higher than highest rejected offer)

PROOF #1

This guy was trying to sell his hat for 6 buds for a long time. However he would post his trade and never update it, so nobody ever saw it, only 17 views:

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10821636[/url]

Finally he gave up and tried to quick sell it here:

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11108189[/url]

His quicksell price was $120 or 3.15 buds. Notice more views and bookmarks? By the time I had gotten there he had gotten better offers, so I paid $200 for both hats or $160 for the Capo.

So I bought this hat for 4.2 buds myself and I would still consider that a bit of a quicksell.

In two days I already have 186 views and 2 bookmarks. Now that doesn't prove anything for price, but just shows that the previous owner didn't get better offers on his because only 17 people saw it.

PROOF #2

This guy sold his 1 month ago for 5 buds pure + 2 in unusuals.

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10336413[/url]

This is the guy who bought it for 5 buds + [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9748133[/url]

Tyrolean Circuling TF2 Logo = 1.7 buds (bp.tf low)

Vintage Procedure Mask = 4.5 keys (bp.tf low)

S.F. Ubersaw = 3.5 Keys (bp.tf low)

All together that is 1.7 buds + 8 keys or 2 Buds flat. Assuming a 1 bud unusual overpay, I will count it as a 6 bud offer total (which I think is more than fair)

So 1 month ago, this guy got 6 buds (accounting for unusual overpay) for his hat.

PROOF #3

My Current trade:

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10336413[/url]

I have already been offered more than 6.3 in Unusuals (in different varieties) and the trade has been up for 2 days. Call it 5.5 if you account for unusual overpay.

The guy retracted his offer, but only because he was mad I wouldn't sell it to him. Shouldn't effect the validity of his offers.

PROOF #4

I have gone through all the owners and trades for this hat. Most of them were sold 9-12 months ago for 4 buds+, I would call that 5 buds+ today.

SUMMARY

1) The price on this hat is 7 months old, badly needs and update.

2) Similar Heavy hats typically have a .5-1 bud difference between burning flames and scorching flames. Burning is currently 6.1-7.1.

3) The hat was sold 1 month ago for 5 buds + 2 in unusuals, I'm counting that as 6 buds with overpay and my high price is still below that.