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Yes, I Own One, but I AM GIVING IT AWAY TO A FRIEND so dont bug me.
Listing All Outpost Trades
1 Bud = 24.5 keys
Current Trades
Link 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11406562
Wants 32 keys, only up for 1 day, no offers yet
Link 2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11182115
Offers, Rejected 24 keys pure (just under a bud)
Sold For 1 Bud To Link #4
Link 3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11353470
Wants 1 Bud (updated price?) but rejected offer of 1 bud + 2 keys in sweets
Link 4: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11350270
1 offer of 1 bud + 2 keys and 1 offer of 27 Keys
Link 5: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11041717 Note: Link 5,6,7 are the same owner
(retracted) offer of 28 robo keys.
Link 6: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10177107 Note: Link 5,6,7 are the same owner
Rejected offer of 16 keys + TS Shades + LVL 69 Dropped TC With Name/Desc (About a bud total?)
Link 7: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10405860 Note: Link 5,6,7 are the same owner
(retracted) offer of 1 bud + 10 keys (Not gonna use this as proof, i think this is an outlire)
Link 8: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10725612
Rejected offer of 1 bud + 4 keys
Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11001193 Sold for 27 keys (1.2 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11182115 Sold for 1 Bud
Conclusion
1 Bud is rare, but possible
People are willing to pay 1 bud and 6 keys for it
Link 1: Buyouts mean nothing. I want 20 buds for my crate 55.
Link 2: Sold for 1 bud which is... as you put it nicely, 24.5 keys, within the current range.
Link 3: If he wants 1 bud which is 24.5 keys...
Link 4: Once again, offers within current range unless 27 keys MAGICALLY became greater than 28 keys...
Link 5/6/7: Most of the proof is retracted and, as you said, outliers. The only proof that is substantial is the offer of 16 keys + Shades + TC which, as you said, is a bit under a bud. Once again, in current range.
Link 8: So far the only thing that proves your proof. Refused 28.5 keys which is 0.5 keys past the current.
Sold Links:
27 keys which is within the current.
1 bud which is 24.5, once again, within the current.
I just don't see 32 keys (1.3 buds) being possible here.
Link 1: I put every trade on outpost up, it has only been up for a day. Im not considering it as proof, as it has only been up for a day. Its more or less there just so people dont say i haven't listed every trade.
Link 2: Indeed
Link 3: He retracted an offer of 1 bud + 2 keys in items, im thinking he is trying to quicksell it
Link 4: Yes, within the current range, but high range if current, that offer, or around that offer is showing up in trades more often.
Link 5/6/7: Still 1 bud 10 keys and 28 robo keys were offered, though retracted, its still an offer.
Link 8: Rejected 1.25 buds (or 28 keys)
Im changing this to buds because buds are being offered more, and the current (and retracted) offers, offers in the low range are being denied right away, and offers in the high range are being considered.
Link 3: You have no proof of that. 1.2 buds in items equates to 1-1.1 budish after overpay. He probably wants pure instead of the hassle of selling.
Link 4: It's in the high end but it falls within the current range. If multiple people started offering 27-29 keys I'd agree but they're not.
Changing it to buds doesn't quite work as 1.1 buds is 27 keys and 1.2 buds is 29 keys. 1.15 buds is too much of a mouthful. I say it's good where it is, there's nothing that shows it going for more than 28. People are willingly letting it go for 1 bud, in the middle of the range. All offers past the current range have been retracted.
Link 3: 1 Bud + 2 keys in items. So he was still getting 1 bud pure out of it.
Link 4: there are 2 offers for around 27 keys, ie multiple, not just 1
Link 3: Oops didn't see that. Yeah he changed his buyout to 1.5 buds. It still does not prove a price bump however.
Link 4: And yet no 28 key offers or above. People aren't willing to go past that it seems. There have been none sold for more than 27 keys. That seems like the maximum people are wiling to pay.
You need to either find trades where people are offering 30-31 keys flat or find one that sold for more than 28 keys. Other than that, you really don't have a case for increasing the value of this hat.
In the links 5/6/7 there was 2 offers of 28 robo keys (about 30-31 keys) and 1 bud + 10 keys (34.5 keys)
They were all retracted. Retracted offers never really work on suggestions here. You really need to find some of those closed trades and find ones that have been sold at your current suggestion.
Also...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11440940
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11442305
These are making me highly doubt the reason for this suggestion.
yes, im aware that im selling it, The first link was for pure to give to my friend so he could buy something. the second link is for a game and a downgrade for the same person.
My links do not count as i am doing this 100% purely for charity. Not profit. Charity
I'll leave that for the admin who looks over this suggestion to decide.
so you bought for 18 and then suggesting 28
mate, it was a quicksell. And im not selling for profit, im giving it away so dont pull that crap on me
your own B/O = high end
EDIT: No, wait. Your b/o is 1.2 buds
im not selling it... well im selling it for 2 items that im giving to a friend. A game and a downgrade. Again either way im giving it away
im giving it away
drill that into your puny head
Mr Profiteer, your trade was bumped 1 hour ago.
FREAKING READ. WHATEVER THE HECK I GET OUT THE HAT IS GOING TO MY FRIEND. YOU NEED TO FREAKING READ. IF I GET KEYS, IT GOES TO HIM, IF I GET A DOWNGRADE AND THE GAME, IT GOES TO HIM. IF I DONT SELL IT FOR HIM. HE GETS IT
HE GETS IT NO MATTER WHAT
show more of your personality....charity or not, you shouted it out loud enough. It`s about the suggestion
DUDE IM HELPING MY FRIEND. ITS FOR CHARITY YOU GUYS GETTING ON MY CASE ITS WHATS ANNOYING THE HECK OUT OF ME. NONE OF MY TRADES OF THIS HAT COUNT BECAUSE ITS FOR CHARITY
I cannot see small letters at all. Now I understand you! Let's set all prices for charity.
dude... im just trying to help my friend out. Its not a price for charity. Its a price for the hat. I do not feel its correct. Whatever i paid for it or what im trying to get for it, purely for charity because at the end of the day, i make nothing.
Staying neutral. I am not sure about the high end.
Based on the links, the current range seems fine to me.
look at links #5 7 and 8 again
5: Looking for RoboCrate Keys. Since they are almost the same price as normal, it's in the same range (28 Keys)
7: The offer was retracted and has not been offered that much since. Retracted does not count, as he probably got it for less
8: Bud and 4 Keys is about 28, so still in range.
All I saw from those links was that the current range looks alright.
bud and 4 keys is 28.5 keys
28 robo keys are about 30-32 keys
Seeing as the Robo Keys are dropping like flies (I've been getting them for a Key and a Reclaimed, sometimes 1:1), I wouldn't say 30-32. Also 28.5, half a key over the price woooo, must change way higher.