Suggestion: Halloween Spell: Sinister Staining at 5–6 keys

Price Suggestion

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This suggestion was accepted Fri, 07 Jun 13 12:51:24 +0000 by Horizon.

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The price on this paint is out of date. It is not possible to get it for 3 keys anywhere, and I have only seen 4 key offers declined of late. Successful offers tend to start at 5 keys, and there is evidence of trades at 6 keys. Many traders have buyouts set at 8-10 keys, although I can't find evidence of sales at this price.

TF2Outpost Trades

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11199738[/url] - B/O: 7 keys, offer of 6 keys

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11137896[/url] - B/O: 8 keys, offer of 7 keys accepted this offer is probably outside the normal range

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8902588[/url] - One of the bigger sellers, has declined several 4-5 key offers, has a B/O of 8 keys

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10151594[/url] - B/O:

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10532737[/url] - B/O: 6 keys

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11466146[/url] - B/O: 5 keys

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8226732[/url] - Offers of 4-5 keys declined, all sold now

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7467900[/url] - Declining 4 key offers

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11362388[/url] - More 4 keys offers declined

Trade History Snippets (all in last 7 days, all above current range)

[url]http://i.imgur.com/bIWIQEg.png[/url] - 5 key sale

[url]http://i.imgur.com/2prceMu.png[/url] - 5 key sale

[url]http://i.imgur.com/B65dfId.png[/url] - 5 key sale

[url]http://i.imgur.com/zUVy43C.png[/url] - 5 key sale

[url]http://i.imgur.com/Zv2N29o.png[/url] - 5 key sale

Summary

- Buyouts range from 5-10 keys

- Offers range from 4-7 keys

- No sign of 4 key offers being accepted, but many declined

- Supply of the spell is declining, but demand remains moderate

Also, I would just like to see a little "can't buy in current range" pls

I don't understand, you want evidence of something not existing? I don't do voodoo.

I mean that "can buyers buy this for 4-5 keys?

Looks like KALINKA posted some 'evidence' below. Buyers are not having any success at 3-4 keys.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11328767 No adds (young trade).

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10977388 No offers at current range.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11312370 No proof, offer of 5 keys, not taken.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11495950 No adds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10779583 Offer of 5 keys and 4 keys.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11380762 No adds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11328767 No adds.

There's one offer of 4 keys, untaken currently (possibly sold those already though). All other buyers are outside the current range or with no adds/offers of current range.

Thanks for the help! It should also be remembered when looking at these links, that anyone posting here is probably looking for some 'quick' keys by selling below market prices.

Oh hey, nice to see you here.^^

But could you please show more evidence at 6 keys than 1 offer (correct me if I missed something)? Seems like the majority of trades is at 5 keys.

I think you would have to talk to some of the other sellers and ask for some snips of their trades. If they are turning down 5 keys offers one would assume they are having successful trades above 5 keys.

I think it's always best to have a range rather than a solid price, and since there are no trades going through at less than 5 keys, that seems like a good place to start. As for an upper limit, the modal asking price is clearly 8 keys, check outpost for yourself. But offers close to that are hard to find for obvious reasons (no sane person offers high!). Regardless, I have shown recent offers at or above 6 keys, and several offers of 5 keys that were declined. Taken together, it seemed to me that an upper range of 6 keys is the best fit. There has been at least one trade above that (and possibly more, if other sellers could contribute evidence), but I don't think one or two trades is enough to merit a range higher than 6 keys.

tl;dr: most are at 5, none below, some above, qed 5-6

I bought one a couple of days ago for 3 keys.

post screen of you trade history please.

http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198065684888/inventoryhistory/?p=3

we can't check other's trade history, that's why i asked you to make screenshot =)

Even if he bought one for 3 keys, a single trade is hardly evidence against my suggestion. Just like the 7 key offer I posted above, it would be an outlier. If a few more people come forward claiming 3-4 key trades, then maybe I am wrong, but I doubt it.

I think price will be more, than suggested. Its will raise very hight, because its some exclusive.

The 5 key seller gets many adds, enough for the low end. With this range no other suggestion should be needed for the next week.s^^