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Proof:
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11478902 - Has an offer that is accepted of 1.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11351072 - Has an offer of 1.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11439320 - Had an offer of 1.5, he bought from someone else, probably for that much
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11037145 - Someone wrote added (for 2) and someone offered strange ambassador (1) with critical kills (1.5 - 1.8) when part is attached it loses some of it's worth but it can't go down from 1.5 - 1.8 to less than 0.5 so that's still 1.5 or more
There are 1 page and 2 trades of this, some sell for items, some are new, some are unsold and some are overpriced but I couldn't find not even a single 1.2 or less than ~1.5 sellers
Classifieds has 2, 1 for 1.5 and 1 for 2
Buyers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10817699 - Buying for 6 ref (really close to 1.2 keys) no recent adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11492740 - Buying for 1 key and 1 ref (1.2 keys), the trade is young but lets watch and see what happens
Opened 2.5 out of 4 pages of links, only 2 that were buying for above 1 key, most are trying to buy for 3 - 4 ref and obviously fail and even if 1 sells them it's an obvious quicksell anyways
looking good
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11472891 - sold for 1key2.77ref (if u don t believe me - http://i.imgur.com/NK7T77L.jpg)
http://bazaar.tf/trade/246993 - sold for 1key2.33ref
Erm...
Based on TF2outpost, 1.5-2 almost seems like a better range...
2 sales doesn't happen often, MANY try to sell for that but i couldn't find any proof of it recently
Anyway, for now, upvote, I see no obvious issues with this suggestion