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Hello. Diving right in.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11434892 My own ketche that I sold within 3 days, got a first offer of 12 keys, and ended up trading to Nova for 14 keys. 12 is the reason why I put it as the low end.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11041214 Got offered a bubbling mullet (14-16)factoring in unusual overpay is.. 14*0.9=12.6 keys. However, owner wanted him to add "a few keys." Also got offered 13 pure keys 2 times, once by Lupah, once by Nova. Then there's other offers.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8042469 the final trade on outpost, got offered 12 keys by Roundmountain, who offered on my trade also. He also offered 12 keys+ plus a Last Breath on another trade, meaning he was willing to go higher.
Conclusively, 11 keys is just a bit too low for the ketche. 12 at the low end seems like a better range.
Thanks for reading!