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Doing my own independent assessment based on what the hats actually sold for. Highest actual sale at 1.8. Lowest sale at 1.3. Range = 1.3-1.8
ACTUAL SALES
Okay, here are what seem to be the exact trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11509537 - b/o of 28 keys... - sold instantly - quicksell
1.3 (1.5 buds in items) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11519139 - sold for a bp - according to bp.tf this was worth 1.5 buds (he didn't sell ALL of his bp) - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198082481773
~1.3? - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11044535 - sold for s gunslinger + a few keys in sweets? - gunslinger was ~1.2 buds at the time - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198028086208?time=1369465200
~1.6 (1.85 in unusuals) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11518697 - added an archimedes for smoking juju - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198060332765?time=1370502000
1.7 (1.9 in unusuals) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11188002 - ~12 keys (11 keys + 1 in items) + festivizer for cauldron hotrod - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050571696?time=1369810800
1.8 (2 in unusuals) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11354501 - sold for a nuts beak + bmoc - 1.8 after overpay - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198056320792?time=1370242800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11181031 - unclear what this one sold for
CURRENT TRADES
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11535644 - B/O 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11528363 - no offers
Mine was accurate but just focused on the last couple of days because it seems to be dropping. [url]http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51b24b4a4bd7b8ba52000007[/url] I'm too tired to be bothered though so will just vote for your one instead.
Edit: That Burning Dread Knot offer... Now I'm happy to see it higher.
You're right. The high sales happened before the other was unboxed. But I think it's unfair to simply remove them from the proof since the trades still happened within the last week.
Don't worry; I agree with you. :P I'm just too tired to be thinking straight at the moment. When I did one, I had just seen the 2-3 one and just knew that it was far too high so quickly did up a better one. After doing it though, I saw the other.
And that dread knot offer wasn't a 1:1. It was for two hats (festivizer + of slug) ;)
You have done the most work here.^^