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Durr how do range.
This is quite the rare uncraftable hat, I'm lucky I got more than 1 or 2 links as proof.
Anyways, just narrowing the range.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11592876 Selling for 2.55 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11623111 Selling for 2.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11591975 Selling for 2.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8975031 In the last month, copious amounts of 2 ref offers, all turned down. That one 3 ref offer Long pointed out never went through.
Practically none on the market (only 461 UCs in the whole game as well), but they seem to settle towards a 2.55-2.66 average. Offers of 2 ref are declined and offers of 3 ref don't exist (or never go through).
Just bought one for 2.66 from your second link, btw.