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4 on the market, 2 relevant to the suggestion, as one is a young trade and the other is a set trade. Please note that all unusual prices are according to this website.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11353349
One willing buyer at a posted buyout of 3 buds.... blocked due to steam guard issues. Other offers include a Max's Severed Head (2.2 buds) plus 1 bud pure offer, and a Haunted Ghosts Milkman (2.8-3.5 buds) offer, currently listed as a current offer.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6731003
3 bud pure offer hidden
Circling Peace Sign Private Eye (1.1-1.3 buds) plus 2 buds pure offer hidden.
Flaming Lantern Larrkin Robin (1.7-2 buds) plus 1 bud pure plus 1 bud in items offer hidden.
I fouled up on the last suggestion. Accidentally put keys in instead of buds
You need to consider item/unusual overpay.
Middle price x 0.9 = Overpay price
If any pure is included, add it to the overpay price
I did. Base Price of the Private Eye is 1.1, and 2 buds makes the offer 3.1. The Larrkin Robin base price is 1.7, but 1 bud pure and 1 bud in items is well over 3 buds.
Also, with the Max's Severed Head plus 1 bud pure offer, remember that the max head does count as a pure item, due to it's status as a currency item.
I don't see how the range can be below 3 buds when both trades have an offer of at least 3 in promos that was declined
I took into account the base price for the Haunted Ghosts Milkman, at 2.8 buds.