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Proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11235084
sold for a bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7969546
Sold for 1 bud 14 keys since he added 4 more keys for both the hats so +2 (1.6 buds)
That second link was closed 4 months ago, not sure if it would be recent enough for good proof
I am not sure about this, since there is only one on outpost.
But then it is also between the last suggestion which was 9 months ago. Better than nothing
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/4984570 Here is a 7 months one
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7690648 Sold for unknown.
That's a pretty huge jump... but sales are sales