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[url]http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51b6f6524bd7b8c96e000016[/url]
I'm modifying this suggestion slightly. My problem is the bud + seven keys. That still hasn't sold so this hat's closer to 1.3 than to 1.4. My reason for keeping the 1.5 was simply that I couldn't find evidence against it. However, now that a lower-priced one hasn't been sold, I feel that even if 1.5 has happened, it's no longer relevant.
Your proof from the other suggestion.
"Being a rather common hat, this one varies very little. Personally I would prefer to call it 1.3-1.4 but I can't disprove recent potential 1.5-bud sales. They're certainly unlikely to occur again due to lower buy-out prices (at about 1.4) now, so this may lower further in time.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11321044 was bought with somewhere from 1.4 (rough approximation to the bud + Bill's) to the buy-out of 1.6 (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11168860).
Recent buy-out of 1.4: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11527951. Before that it went for somewhere from six to eleven keys added to a bud, or 1.3-1.5 (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11445054).
Offer of 1.2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11357441.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11440775: "B/O: 1 Bud + 1 Bills" (he wants about 1.3).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11280020: Offered 1.3 but I don't count this as an offer yet because he doesn't have that to offer it.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11492053: Wants a bud and seven keys. If you want this hat then either wait and hope for it to drop or buy this one! I personally believe that he's hoping to sell it quickly by giving it a price of one key below the next cheapest one but he has had it up for almost a week now."