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http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51bd30ddba25369431000006
2 months old. people seemed to be opposed to pricing it in ref, so I converted the currency. 0.9 keys = 4.88 refined (lower than I intended). Please don't complain about using 9/10 in the range.
classifieds: http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/539/6/0/1 - http://i.imgur.com/m521fAN.png
1 selling for 5.11 ref
22 selling for 1 key
Selling/sold for less than a key in the last 3 days:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11769896 - 4 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11757111 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11755200 - 4.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11752960 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11749597 - 4.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11747936 - 1:1 w/ aqua flops
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11740563 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11727842 - 4.33 (bought by me)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11720640 - 5.22
http://i.imgur.com/VD6JUR2.png - 4.88, 5.11
http://i.imgur.com/5feOgEt.png - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11726982 - 5 ref ( http://i.imgur.com/GSbCTUg.png )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11751535 - buyer successful at 4 ref
sellers at 1 key to keep an eye on:
all from the first page of sellers on outpost
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11660698 - 4 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11777991 - 2 hours (new)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11737739 - 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11601702 - 6 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11414811 - painted green, sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11200227 - 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11725726 - 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11719392 - 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11770889 - 7 hours (new)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11757703 - 15 hours (new)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11749770 - 22 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11749520 - 22 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11780092 - new
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11780086 - new
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11762120 - 12 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11684982 - 3 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11775423 - 4 hours
there are 200+ sellers at 1 key or less from the last 3 days ( http://i.imgur.com/PDnpLdX.png ).
trade.tf price graph, if you choose to follow it: http://trade.tf/price/539/6 - fluctuates between 0.81 keys and 1.00 keys
Just because you sold one for a key, does not mean that it isn't easily feasible to buy for less.
"COUNTERPROOF
Sold for 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11766766
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11763563
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11760353
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11756491
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11756036
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11754354
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11754126
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11751208
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11751074
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11750435
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11750045
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11746287
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11746611
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11743289
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11736614
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11735878
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11733712
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11733671
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11732355
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11731284
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11727660
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11727160
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11723820
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11723625
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11723197
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11722151
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11721808
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11719779
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11719177 "
- Phanatic from the previous suggestion
Just wondering, how is it counterproof if it's in the range?
I guess it isn't as relevant now that I priced it in keys, but I suppose some may still argue that the number sold at 1 key outnumbers sales below it enough to warrant a flat price.
The number sold at 1 key does significantly outnumber any number of sales below 1 key.
Agreed
Since Vincent closed the last one and suggested converting it to refined, maybe it is something the mods should discuss amongst themselves. 5 ref is so longer an acceptable substitute for 1 key, as Vincent had argued - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51aa897eba2536514c000014
edit: heh, looks like you recruited grimdercell to tell the suggester to close that one as well
You can't base prices on quicksells. 0.9 keys is a little awkward and largely unnecessary.
Selling/sold for less than a key in the last 3 days:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11769896 - 4 ref Obvious quicksell
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11757111 - 5 ref Seller wanted to sell below market price "cheap!"
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11755200 - 4.66 Sold pretty quickly (before a single bump)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11752960 - 5 ref Sold pretty fast
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11749597 - 4.66 Sold very fast
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11747936 - 1:1 w/ aqua flops
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11740563 - 5 ref Sold fairly quickly
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11727842 - 4.33 (bought by me) Obviously a quicksell
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11720640 - 5.22 Sold pretty fast
http://i.imgur.com/VD6JUR2.png - 4.88, 5.11 4.88 ref seller sold fast, 5.11 ref still open
http://i.imgur.com/5feOgEt.png - 5 ref Sold pretty fast
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11726982 - 5 ref (
http://i.imgur.com/GSbCTUg.png )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11751535 - buyer successful at 4 ref Quicksell
Look at the last update for the graph
http://trade.tf/price/539/6
Median price: 1.00 key
and a few hours ago it was 0.92. like I said above, it fluctuates.
That's why 1 key flat works just fine. I really see no reason to change the current price. There just isn't enough sellers below 1 key to justify a change.
>a few hours ago it was 0.92
>that's why 1 key flat works just fine
I guess we just fundamentally disagree on how items should be priced here.
If I were to enter the market to buy a genuine awp, it would be very easy to get one for less than a key. That is what I am trying to represent in my range.
Neither of us are presenting new arguments. I suggest we leave it to the voting and moderation.
Anyway, trade.tf isn't a reliable source and shouldn't be relied upon to be the main proof of a suggestion. From links on outpost, the majority of sales happens at 1 key.
I'm not relying on its spreadsheet at all. It's a footnote that actually includes the words "if you choose to follow it".
I am not denying that there are more sales at 1 key than fewer. I am arguing that there are enough sales to represent it on the spreadsheet as a very feasible buying price.
Unless you have any new arguments against the proposed range, I'm going to leave it to the voters and moderators.
Please don't spread false rumors: trade.tf is pretty reliable.
The reason why it's not (and should not be) used as sole proof is for both spreadsheets to measure values independently and cross-correlate each other.
more below 1 key since OP:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11783795 - 4.88, unsold for 10+ hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11783136 - 5.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11796851 - selling for 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11788454 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11786161 - 5 ref
http://i.imgur.com/NipCM71.png - 5 ref
http://i.imgur.com/i8HU1s5.png - 5 ref
http://bazaar.tf/trade/261971 - selling for 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11800696 - selling for 5.22
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11802403 - purple painted for 1 key
Notice how most of those links have sellers saying "quickselling" or "add for fast trade"
and notice how some are unsold. any other item, these sales would be considered valid proof of a range, but people seem to have an irrational attachment to having items equal exactly one key.
we've both made our arguments, phanatic. just let the voters and mods decide.
lol i don't have an "irrational attachment" to items in prices of 1 key. I already attempted to change that with the gen Awp and successfully did it with the Pink paint. I sincerely think that anything below 1 key is a quicksell or is close enough to 1 key to keep the current range.
that is your opinion. I appreciate you sharing it. I don't know why you said "current range" when there isn't one, but I disagree regardless. we've gotten to a point where 0.1 keys is more than half a refined. we aren't going to come to an agreement, so I'm going to leave it be.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11818500 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11821020 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11835068 - 5.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11832473 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11827004 - 5 ref
http://i.imgur.com/MAThQzj.png - 5.22, 5.00, 5.22
http://i.imgur.com/MxibfU1.png - 5 ref
http://i.imgur.com/2sdyfLP.png - 5.11 ref
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9550596 - 5 ref, painted
http://tf2deal.ru/trade.php?id=25679 - 5.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11844866 - 5 ref
http://i.imgur.com/miLTGV2.png - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11842715 - buyer immediately successful at 4 ref (outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11851074 - 4.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11853175 - reselling for 5.22
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11853139 - 2 @ 5 ref each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11850046 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11850804 - 4 ref (outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11849017 - 5 ref
you're just making it hard for people to check the price of an item, especially for new players/traders. who cares if the trades happen at keys or refs, the price is still the same. just to check an item's price i would have to count it with a calculator, that's dumb. 0.9 keys, wat in the dear love of god is this.
0.9 keys is 4.88 refined. If you dont care about saving half a refined an can't bother to type "convert 0.9 keys" into the search bar, then you can just pay the high end of 1 key
Most of your unsolds sold by now. Downvote.
I don't see the sense in your reasoning, but thanks for voting.
That they sold for a key, and you're acting like they're hard to sell for a key.
I'm not acting like that at all. I'm showing that it is quite easy to buy for less than 1 key.
.9 is such an ugly number when keys are concerned :/
>_> exactly why I priced it in ref. there's no winning! haha
Why was everyone against the ref price? its alot nicer than a range with .9 in it
they argued that more trades occur using keys as the currency than refined, which certainly has merit. This is an issue because it determines if the price of this item changes when the price of keys changes.
how do you trade .9 of a key in keys? thats.. impossible. Unless you ask for change back.... god my brain hurts
It's a lot nicer as 1 key flat.
we get it, mate.
Only 1 5 ref trade still open, and non-donator trade. Downvoted,
because the others sold for less than 1 key
that being said, you are welcomed to vote how you feel. I'll be keeping this one open.
very quickly. quicksell.
competition drives prices down. there are dozens of sellers, if not more, trying to sell for 1 key. what you call quickselling, I call competing. As I said to Phanatic, as a buyer, it is very easy to buy this item for less than 1 key.
Eh, this suggestion is just going to turn into the next gift wrap.
I honestly hate the attention this and the awp suggestion have/will bring, but I think both buyers and sellers should be represented on the spreadsheet. I don't feel the current price does that well.
Indeed, with another counter by me if it passes (well if I'm first)
Seriously, it's pointless. DarkGenex did this range before, and it was closed due to the vast majority of sales happening at 1 key.
Yes, the majority of sales occur at 1 key. The minority occur at 0.9 keys. Sales occur at both, and so we have a range. it is very easy to buy this item for less that 1 key.
edit: quote from vincent, when he closed DarkGenex's suggestion: "My personal opinion would be either to switch to refined so that the 5 ref sales and willing sellers can be properly accomodated or leave at 1 key flat and treat the 5 refs as acceptable variations around that flat price."
You guys were vehemently opposed to using refined, so I switched to keys. Keys have risen since that time and 5 ref is no longer an acceptable substitute.
I am telling you, 1 key sells just fine and more sales happen at 1 key than anything below that in ref.
Sold for 1 key in the past 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11802905
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11802032
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11801480
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11793330
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11792773
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11791127
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11788003
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11785485
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11784508
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11784142
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11775799
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11775423
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11766766
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11763563
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11760353
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11756491
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11756036
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11754354
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11754126
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11751208
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11751074
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11750435
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11750045
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11746287
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11746611
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11743289
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11736614
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11735878
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11733712
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11733671
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11732355
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11731284
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11727660
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11727160
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11723820
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11723625
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11723197
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11722151
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11721808
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11719779
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11719177
Jymotion please stop suggesting 0.9 - 1 keys insead of 1 key, most of the items at 1 key sell a bit for lower, a bit for higher and MOST at 1 key, and even if it needs a drop 0.9 - 1 is a horrible way to do it
0.1 keys is more than half a refined. there have been items priced at 0.9-1.0 keys before. I have already gotten the okay to make this range.
Doesn't mean it's not a horrible way to do a drop, especially when right now you have 2 suggestions and both items sell 100 times more at 1 key than lower
How is it a horrible way to drop it? I was criticized for converting it to ref.
Do you have a source for that "100x" stat?
It's a way of expression and you know it, also when the items you try to make 0.9 - 1 instead of 1 sell much more for 1 key and also sell fast for 1 key that makes above and below outliers, you can find for a bit lower and you can sell for a bit higher but MOST trades happen at 1 which should be the price, especially when lower sells as quickly as anything considered a quicksell, which shouldn't affect price
they don't happen higher, though. they only occur lower. multiple times a day. you aren't presenting any new ideas, so I'm going to leave this be.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11719177 sold for 1 key.
a lot more sold at 1 key in the previous failed suggestion as well.
I haven't removed 1 key from the price. Which "failed suggestion"? The one I closed myself to change currencies?
Well can you please provide more proof of sales at 0.9 keys since a lot of your 1 key links have been sold.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11818500 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11821020 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11835068 - 5.11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11832473 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11827004 - 5 ref
http://i.imgur.com/MAThQzj.png - 5.22, 5.00, 5.22
http://i.imgur.com/MxibfU1.png - 5 ref
http://i.imgur.com/2sdyfLP.png - 5.11 ref
fair enough.
please suggest a new price with refined not keys, because the keys are going up price like every second, by saying that I mean if the keys go up, this hat will go up too...
this hat has been linked to the price of keys for the last 5+ months
Honestly, I don't think this is necessary. Counterproof in comments show very many sold at 1 key, and most of your selling for lower trades have sold already.