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it is new but it will go done to that price
please reread the guidelines you agreed to: http://backpack.tf/vote?showrules=1
Proof please
Proof please, no proof no upvote.
Seen these go for keys
No proof, no up vote. It's new, like you said, why not wait a bit before setting a price?
New items tend to start high before dropping. Last years festives, the Mecha-medes (Good thing I didn't trade my Archa for the Mecha), the vaccinator/loose cannon/rescue ranger. Let the hype (if it exists) die down first.
A few items, like buds, are obvious exceptions, but not the rule.