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5 months old and rare. Realize that due to few links it's hard to get/find much proof, but this range is much better than previously.
Trade that has been up for 2 months:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9656156
offered 13 keys and 15 (twice) AND 16 keys, all rejected
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10927314
offered about 13 keys, rejected
That's a really wide range...
And I think that pretty much all unusuals are somewhat rare...
And I'm not sure if that's really enough proof...
I'll stay neutral till you maybe add some more proof.
3 keys isn't a wide range, lol. The minimum range that is possible/likely to be accepted is two keys usually. And not all unusuals are rare. The older effects are all very rare, as there is a 9:1 chance of opening a new effect when unboxing from crate 26 or newer. If you look at a hat like...a steaming hetman's, there are a lot more that exist and are on the market. With old effects, most are either in collector hands or are in inactive BP's. And also, that one link has TWO MONTHS of offers, and is bumped regularly.