DO NOT DOWNVOTE JUST BECAUSE OF HUGE RANGE

LOOK AT EVIDENCE FIRST

I was taking a look at this hat since it was a pretty old price (5 months) and at first I was thinking that it needed to drop but its quite the opposite actually. Turns out it needs a raise in price. Lets take a look at the proof.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11648061

The first 3 offers aren't all that significant but lets look at the last 2. His second to last offer is a B.M.O.C + a White Bills. Now technically, due to the price drop of Painted Bills, that would only be 11 keys + 9 Keys but for the sake of price suggestion and the fact that you can't change the price of painted items without changing the price of the paint or the item we'll consider it 11 keys + 10 keys. That's 21 Keys in items, above top value. The owned rejected his offer asking him to add. Apparently he was willing to add a Strange Festive Grenade Launcher, Strange Festive Ubersaw a Strange Spy Set and some keys. I've added him to discuss further as to whether or not his offer was White Bills + BMOC + SF Grenade + SF Ubersaw + Some keys + Strange Spy Set or was it 3 separate offers of BMOC + White Bills or SF Grenade + SF Ubersaw + Some keys or the Strange Spy Set. Either way, the BMOC + White Bills offer is about 21 Keys in items. I will edit this further when I have the conversation with Player_11. In the unlikely event that the guy who offered refuses to talk to me, many trades I've talked to agree that it was 3 separate offers and not 1 high-valued offer. Here's an example of one of the people I talked to: http://puu.sh/3hRfJ.png. The most recent offer is 25 keys (if he waits until the 25th of June) but it seems it was retracted since the guy hid his offer.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11753392

B/O of 20 keys. A guy added him but I guess retracted since Joonamato still owns the hat.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11616406

B/O of 19 Keys, had a guy add him but the guy found another one as shown

here:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11553494. Where the guy bought it for 20 keys.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11568457

Had an offer of a Level 96 short history Clean Earbud if the owner added. The owner was not willing to add so it didn't work out. I added the owner of the earbud to see how much he wanted the guy to add and here's our conversation:

☆Highly Intoxicated Muffiη☆™: Hi

Famous™: np

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10432855

Sold his little buddy to Paul the Goth for 45 Dollars! That's about 1 Bud!

I also have a friend who sold his for 12 Keys + S. Sapper + 2 Strange Huntsmans, which is 12 Keys + 6 Keys + 10 Keys (5 Keys per huntsman), totaling to 28 Keys in mixed! Proof: http://puu.sh/3hQ8R.png (a screenshot of a screenshot.)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11800919

And here's a guy who doesn't bump his trade and has a B/O of 20-23 Keys. Doesn't show much except that most trader's aren't looking for anywhere below 20 keys. This is not so much of evidence but more of a display that the 18-19 range is mostly useless.

But this hat is somewhat difficult to price given the dramatic price difference in offers and B/O's. There are some with B/O's of 20 keys but then some getting offers of 21 keys or more in items. One of them sold for 20 keys while another sold for 28 Keys in mixed. And then there's that one guy who sold for $45! And another with a B/O of 19 Keys! All very confusing. I honestly think that this is a hat that deserves a huge range. $45 is about 26-28 Keys. So I'd think the range of 19-28 Keys is a fair range seeing as the lowest B/O is 19 Keys from a guy who hasn't bumped for 2 days. And the highest one sold was for 28 Keys in mixed.

Now I realize that this is a HUGE range, but according to evidence its about right. I've talked to some traders about it and they agree that it is way too big. Chances are I'll close this trade after a few of you provide evidence of a smaller range. Thanks for this. And I'm always open to suggestions.