Price Suggestion
~12 keys
steaming
Unusual Attendant Steaming
55 votes up
27 votes down
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Comments

Introduction:

I encourage you to analyze proof before using your vote, please and thank you.


This is a polycount hat, so it's obviously going to be worth a bit more due to set bonuses. I currently own one and feel the price here is misrepresented. While proof in actual sales isn't that strong, the current offers on this hat have been high. I am making this suggestion as objectively as possible and creating my suggested range on supporting proof.


Current Listings:


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11835719[/url]

Offers:

-1 Bud + VoT Bill's + 2 keys (within 18 hours of posting) = 1.4 Pure Buds


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11178730[/url]

Offers:

-Orb. Fire Grimm Hatte (1.1-1.3) + 8 keys pure in sweets (.33) = 1.3-1.5 Buds

-Blizz Gridiron (1.7) + Sweets (retracted this part of offer) = 1.5 Buds

-Sulphorus Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet* + SF Minigun with parts (1.1) = 2.6-3.2 Buds. Assuming this is an outlier.

-1 Bud (1) + 1 key (.04) + Genuine Original (.06) + Clean Aspect (.03) + S. Black Box (.12) = 1.3 Buds


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11548137[/url]

Offers:

-24 keys (1) = 1 Pure Bud

-25 keys (1.04) = 1 Pure Bud

-30 keys (1.25) = 1.3 Pure Buds

-Sulphorus Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet* + SF Minigun with parts (1.1) = 2.6-3.2 Buds. Assuming this is an outlier.


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9692944[/url]

Offers:

-Stormy Storm Capotain (20-23) = 0.8-0.9 Buds

-Bubbling VRH (20-23) = 0.8-0.9 Buds

-19 keys (.79) = 0.8 Buds

-Blizzardy Storm VRH (21-27) = 0.8-1 Buds

-Planets Attendant (24-30) = 1-1.3 Buds

-Haunted Ghosts German Gonzilla (1.3-1.9) = 1.2-1.7 Buds

-Nutz Bubble Pipe (24-25) = 0.9 Buds

-1 Bud = 1 Pure Bud

-27 keys = 1.1 Pure Buds


Sales:


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11046257[/url]

-Sold for 32 pure = 1.3 Pure Buds


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10682292[/url]

-Sold for 27 pure = 1.1 Pure Buds


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10622452[/url]

-The owner states he was offered 1.6 pure, assuming this is what he sold it for. No proof, but worth noting.


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11054856[/url]

-No stated sale, assumed that it was sold for a Memory Leak Steel Shako (Unpriced)


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11135373[/url]

-No stated sale, possibly sold for 2 pure?


Notes:


-I value Earbuds at 24 keys each, and keys at 5.33 each for the purpose of this suggestion.

-Unusual offers and item offers were taken with 90% overpay.

-Items are valued at lowest spreadsheet price.

-Strange Parts are valued at half of spreadsheet price.

-Ranges from offers are rounded to the nearest tenth, and if the second digit is five or above they are rounded up.

-Only sales and offers that have occured in the past month were noted.

*Unpriced, but the lowest Sulphorus hat is 1.8-2.2 http://backpack.tf/stats/437/5/64 . This hat is likely worth more, but I will not research into it since I am not including this offer in the evidence.


Conclusion:


I am choosing the low range of this hat, 1.4, based on an approximation of the highest recorded selling point and the highest pure offer.

I am choosing the high range of this hat, 1.7, based on the highest unusual offer.

    Great proof, hopefully you don't get any instant downvotes from imbeciles that assume you're "manipulatingz teh marketz." I love the format, although I'd recommend putting some emphasis on your basis for the high/low ends.

      That was one of the things I was thinking about changing, I might move the header down for that reason.

      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11548137

      Offers:

      -24 keys (1) = 1 Pure Bud

      -25 keys (1.04) = 1 Pure Bud

      -30 keys (1.25) = 1.3 Pure Buds

      -Sulphorus Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet* + SF Minigun with parts (1.1) = 2.6-3.2 Buds. Assuming this is an outlier.


      The idiot that offer the Sulphorus Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet* + SF Minigun with parts wanted 1:1 with his hat to mine and denied the mingun as included in the dull offer and never went forward with his trade

        I assumed something was wrong there, which is why I didn't include it in the evidence and it wasn't considered in the final price.

          I would have taken it if it was both but he pulled that "or" card out

      I never saw an unusual suggestion like this. Easy upvote for me.

        Thanks for the kind words, still toying with the general format of it and I look forward to making a few more like this.