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Well, did some reserch on outpost to see what this stuff is acually worth atm.
There are only a few diary trades open, most of them selling the diaries for 1,5 buds. It's very hard to sell them over that price.
Bought one yesterday for a strange festive sticky + 14 keys (39 keys), proof: gonna soon add a screenshot where he can confirm our trade, here's his profile if you wanna ask him (idk if that's a solid proof, adding it anyway :P)
Gonna buy one from this guy (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11732090) in one week for a s.f minigun + s.f. flamethrower (~36-39 keys), my first offer was a s.f. sticky + 10 keys (pretty much 1,5 buds).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10988781 Open since may, no buyers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/2969031 Open since august, still not sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10133361 Open since april, b/o 54 keys, remained unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10538637 b/o 1,5 buds straight, already sold 2
Some other trades are either looking for unusuals/specific trades or ridiculously high buyouts
Yeah, there are rumors and blah blah pyromania anniversary blah blah...It's just rumors, fact is we still don't know what it does/will do.
Like I said, I have 2 of them and gonna buy one more for a sligh overpay because I don't wanna wait any longer.
I think 1,5 buds is a very reasonable price for the moment, the update hype is just annoying and without any reason. The price still can be changed when the time for the update has come.
Ty for reading and happy trading
note: this is my first price suggestion so please don't rape me in the comments :P
you have the correct range for sure. lemme help with some more proof though
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10538637 -willing to do 3 buds for 2
selling at 1.6 in the first place
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10179802 - c/o of 37 keys(1.55) after 2 months
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10385177 - rejected bud + bills(1.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11830025 - offered sf mini + sf flamethrower + key = 1.6
if anything id consider a 1.5-1.6 range, but 1.5 flat should be fine as well.
Thx mate! Yeah, probably could have set the range to -1.6, all the other trades just jump straight to 2 buds or more...