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This is another overpriced halloween unusual that just doesn't move. Proofs below not to mention hours of anecdotal evidence of trying to sell it for three buds on unusual trade servers and other trade servers. It isn't selling at the current high or even the current low so these values need to be adjusted.
3 people are selling it on outpost:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11850294 (highest offer is an eerie panama + some hats and refined/hats). The eerie orbiting fire panama is worth 1.5–1.9 buds, which is nowhere near the 3.2-4buds this hat is valued at. I'm setting the low value at 2.2 to give enough room for the assumption of ample sweets in the first trade. This has no other offers because the thing just doesn't move.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11596437 b/o: 3 buds and 1 blls (3.3 buds max). no offers (won't move)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11659500 sold for 3 buds and enough metal/refined in keys to make it 3.09 buds to yours truly.
Offer of scotch bonnet for a sunbeams whoopie cap which is valued at 3.9-4.2 (around the current high of the flaming lantern bonnet) being rejected:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11883313
Offer of Scotch bonnet for a stormy storm executioner being rejected (3.3-4.1. 4.1 is around the current high price of the scotch bonnet) : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10676135
Offer for a Scorching Safe N sound which is valued at 3.4-4.1 buds being rejected:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11421434
Offers of scotch bonnet for a burning gonzila which is valued at 3.2-3.6 buds here being rejected twice:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11879511
offers of 3 buds being rejected:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11789125 (quicksell lol)
There were also offers of 2.5 buds being rejected but those were quick sell.
low: I'm setting the low value at 2.2 to give enough room for the assumption of ample sweets in the first trade.
high: I'm setting the high at 3.1 buds because the highest documentable high i've seen is 3.1 sold to me.
if hats valued at 3.4 are being rejected, why should the price go down?
Because offers lower than that are being rejected as well. High or low, it's not selling and the fact that it's not selling within the price range means a price update needs to be done.
Fair enough.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11434048 - this hat + 2 bills for memory leak robo fro (2-2.4 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11822444 - this hat for steaming executioner (3.7-4.1), maybe sweets were added
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11766083 - sold for 3 buds + sweets?
Yea, needs a price drop