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Ok hear me out, I decided to price this item in refined because most trades and offer happen in items or ref, not too many key sales. Though this can go for around a key, and 5.33 represents that. Finding more proof, just putting this up for now.
OFFERS
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/460/11/0 (one 5 ref seller, a bunch for a key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11915028 (offer of s.ambassador and 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11896933 (retracted offer of 1 key 2 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11903122 (offer of 4 ref, sold for a key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11921058 (offer of gift wrap, or 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11907693 (offer of s.ambassador, or 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11919299 (offer of s.ambassador, or 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11918551 (offer of s.mantreads, or 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11912662 (offer of key worth of s.parts and 4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11890132 (offer of 1 key and another of 4.33 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11894668 (offer of 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11906861 (5.33 ref offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11905338 (offer of 4 craft hats, or 5.33)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11891346 (5 ref offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11899541 (5 ref offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11904736 (4.33 ref offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11909805 (4 ref offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11909549 (4 ref offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11918904 (4 ref offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11905757 (4 ref offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11891750 (4 ref offer)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11918892 (4 ref offer)
SALES
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11918615 (sold for a s.part heavies killed, or 1 key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11913382 (sold for a key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11910640 (sold for a key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11918838 (sold for a key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11903146 (sold for a key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11905080 (sold for a key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11916534 (sold for a key)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11902271 (sold 5 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11908306 (sold 5 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11897036 (sold 4.66 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11899698 (sold 4.66 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11906490 (sold 4.33 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11895162 (sold 4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11897395 (sold 4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11902211 (sold 4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11906458 (sold 4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11907150 (sold 4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11893207 (sold 4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11916609 (added for 4 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11892754 (added for 4 ref)
Remade proof and added more sales.
Offers don't mean jack if they aren't being taken.
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51bf345d4bd7b85474000009
That's completely different story. Its a rare unusual whos price got all wonky due to currency changes, and it needed to be fixed
Depends on the circumstances.
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/518d32a6ba25369b0e000002 funny how this got passed then, huh? sucks how I owned one at the time
Unusuals have a niche market, so offers usually count as proof since the quantity of them is small.
Too many offers and Less Sales
not sure about this because your link 1 got an offer of a s. amby + 1 key -- 2 keys.
I think it may be too early to price this.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11909780 Three of them at least, sold for 2 refined each in 5 minutes.
I think the price is a bit to high for something thats about to be everywhere in a week even if you do find some type of real proof of it being sold for a key.
Going to buy one after the hype goes down
More like 5-5.33
I got 2 for 4 ref each. Even if they get lower, who cares, only 4 ref. If they get higher.... :D
I think it's still too early to set a price for the new items and 4 - 5.33 is a pretty unstable range don't you think?
Way too unfair. Should be 1-2 ref. After all it's going to drop very soon.
But not yet, give it a week.
Haha lol look at strange medigun use to be worth more than 1 key but not it's worth 1 rec.
2 things, I don't get whats funny, and second, why bring the medi gun into this? The enforcer is new, but the hype will die soon, so stick to the facts we have atm, and then it will drop in price =,=
Another thing is that a Strange Enforcer has been desired for quite awhile. It's natural for these (for now) to be selling high when they are first released.
Remember that everyone on outpost takes extreme advantages of duping people out of refined and keys because people are going to be desperate to buy an S. Enforcer. Give it enough time (probably 3 weeks) and the prices are going to drop, significantly. Especially since most players don't like the Enforcer.