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This should have dropped long ago, classfields alone justify 0.66 flat OR LOWER
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/812/11/0
http://imgur.com/5zIfEPj - at time of writing, MANY for 0.66, one for 0.55
Unsolds for 1:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11643603
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11833925
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11875896
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11834017 - 0.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11901556 - 0.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11812273 - 0.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11339972
Still selling for 0.66:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11927888
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11915593
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10051149 - top offer 0.66 5 days ago, bought it elsewhere
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11886735
Buyers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11932622 - 0.66 in 1 hour, no luck yet
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11594506 - add at 0.55 but not confirmed trade
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9468297 - some @ 0.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11426624 - at least one add for 0.44
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11497845 - 0.44 succesful
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9600958 - Bought some for 0.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11849020 - no luck @ 0.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11562268 - 0.33 succesful
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11881566 - 0.33 succesful
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11745648 - 0.33 seems to have bought some
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11890914 - 0.33 unsuccesful
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10780819 - 0.33 unsuccesful
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11902286 - 0.33 unsuccesful
Conclusion:
The market for this Strange is still very confused, with trades happening from 0.33-0.66. Many buyers haven't found sellers and many sellers can't find buyers, but for sure, the 1 ref end seems to be out of the picture (This may even need another drop soon).
Counter-proof is always very welcome but I believe it would take much to disprove this suggestion. Thank you for reading.
Seems like it doesn't have a problem selling at 1 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11887667
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11893842
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11890491
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11890510
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11891398
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11894431
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11894726
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11898769
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11898217
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11900342
Nmost of them are not sold, and this is one of the buyers http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11907813 trying to sell it for 2 rec just now, maybe it is too early yet? I will close this in a few hours if so
"Nmost of them are not sold" - what do you mean? Every single link I posted has sold. And all of them sold within a day of posting, some in minutes.
Sorry I was in a hurry
Link 1 is now trying to resell for 0.88 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11936044
Link 2 tried to resell for 1 ref/higher - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11894830
Link 3 traded his for a Big Earner named "surprise", check boths bp http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/107611
Link 4 seems to be sold to "Unknown"
Link 5 is sold!
Link 6 tried reselling for 2 rec http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11907813
Link 7...I dunno, item history says no...
Link 8 may be sold, can't find it in the presumed buyers inventory
Link 9 No proof it sold for a ref
Link 10 Not sold for a ref
Summary:
I say 1,2,4,5,6 are sold, maybe not even that, and 3 of those tried to reselll shortly after. Still, I think a ref is an outlier, and there are masses out there selling for less.
The ones trying to resell adds to support my range (Unsolds @ 0.66, 0.88, 1) so even though they are sold, they were attemped resell shortly after.
Keep in mind that sometimes you give up as a seller and gives it to a buyer that pays less (In this case, something like 0.66) just to get rid of it before the price drops.
First, people resell all the time when they buy an item and figure out that they don't like it. If someone buys for 1 ref and sells for the same or 1 scrap less, it shouldn't matter.
Second, you can't expect to find the kind of "proof" you are looking for for the kind of item like a strange guillotine. People move around metal so quickly, just because there is no refined in the bp, doesn't mean the trade didn't happen. That burden of proof is IMPOSSIBLE to get for this kind of item unless a person says "added" which most people don't.
Third, when a trade is closed and the item is no longer in the bp, it means its gone. Item history is not reliable at all.
Basically, every single link has sold. I don't know why you think they aren't sold.
All your "unsolds" are tragically underbumped.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11899672
http://i.imgur.com/xhA5Whq.png
Sold for 0.88 ref.
Ehmm.....it is level 42...and I guess special collector's levels go for slightly more
Huh? I didn't even know it was lvl 42 :/
I understood that, I am sorry for your loss (or something like that)
Very easy vote , enjoy your new rank ( 5 suggestion accepted)
Sold for 1 ref, 3 days ago. http://puu.sh/3loeh.png
half your .66 sellers have sold already. The rest don't have autobumps. Your buyers are all quickbuyers except the first one, whom I can't confirm bought one because private pack.
Counterproof shows current range is fine.