3 month old price

Recent Actual Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11764785

Sold for Bubbling Brainiac (2.2-2.8) ~2.25 pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11892628

Sold for Orbiting Fire Brainiac (2.6-3.5) ~ 2.8 with overpay, but the new owner had an immediate 3 bud pure offer on the Brainiac

Current trades

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11976403

50 keys ~2.1

Stormy storm Dragonborn 1.8-2.2 ~1.8

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11400468

2 buds

2 buds 10 keys, increased to 2 buds 13 ~2.5-2.6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10270015

Bubbling Phantom + 11 keys ~2.1

Smoking Phantom ~1.9

2 buds

2 buds 2 keys

Rationale

Previous suggestion set for 2-2.5 3 months ago. The high-end was limited to B/Os at the time of 2.5. Current B/Os around 3, but it seems there is little interest in paying that much. Numerous 2 bud offers rejected, so I’ll raise the low end to 2.1. Highest pure offer is ~2.5 by the same guy on numerous trades, he later retracted (he had over 133 keys at one point, and bought a more valuable unusual). The sale for the Orb Fire Brainiac seems to be an outlier, but the offer was rejected by other owners. I’ll raise to 2.1-2.5 for now. Could possibly go 2.3-2.8, but I’m trying to rely on pure offers.

NOTE: Overpay calculated by mid-range x .90. If the calculation resulted in a price below low end of range, I used low value. The rationale for this is: the price of bp.tf unusual already takes overpay into account, and is based on the understanding that an unusual can be sold for AT LEAST low-end of range.

Any suggestions would be greatly appreciated! Especially your thoughts concerning re-submitting at 2.3-2.8.