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First suggestion- if it sucks, sorry but I’m learning.
Undesired 2012 festive- nobody buys for 5 keys.
Proof:
Trade.tf: [url]http://trade.tf/deals/search/Sell/All/Festive%20Buff%20Banner/all/1[/url] tendency to go for at least 1 ref under its value (I don’t know if trade.tf counts)
Research at TF2WH shows they’re priced at less than 5 keys
Backpack.tf classifieds: [url]http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/strange%20festive%20buff%20banner[/url] all for 5 keys but also unsold
Unsold (probably a few will have sold, especially <5 keys):
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11076696[/url] rejected 5 keys; 1 month old and unsold
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12046010[/url] wants 5 keys; 1 day old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12027309[/url] wants 5 keys; 1 day old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12058765[/url] ^ same guy; offered gold botkiller wrench mkII (4.5-5 keys) and some weps
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11865277[/url] wants 5 keys; 6 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11963794[/url] wants 5 keys; offered 4 keys + ref + sparkplug; 3 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12069731[/url] wants 4 keys + 4 ref; 6 hours old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11975868[/url] wants 5 keys; 3 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11876477[/url] offered 27 ref ~4.86-4.96(keys);
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11566848[/url] wants 5 keys; offered diamond wrench mkI (4 keys); 2 weeks old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11147251[/url] wants 5 keys; offered 4 keys; 1 month old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11979969[/url] wants 5 keys/robokeys; offered 2 keys+2 robokeys; 3 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11663505[/url] wants 5 keys?; 2 weeks old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11014439[/url] wants 7 keys; 1 month old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11964362[/url] wants 5 keys; offered strange festive amby if he adds a key (6 key value); 3 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12043346[/url] wants 5 keys; offered 4 keys + 1.33 ref; 1 day old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11935227[/url] wants 5 keys; offered white essential accessories; 4 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12013200[/url] wants 5 keys; 2 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11998549[/url] wants 5 keys; 2 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12061760[/url] wants 5 keys; 6 hours old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12068022[/url] wants 5 keys; 6 hours old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12006745[/url] wants 5 keys; 2 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11761957[/url] wants 5 keys; offered 4 keys + 1.33 ref; 1 week old
Buying and Unbought: (I just want to note here how many lowballs I was seeing as I was searching- some people were buying it for only 2 keys: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9003861[/url] lowball much?; 3 months old too)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12036891[/url] buying for 4 keys; offered gold scatter mk1 (4 keys 2 ref); 2 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9649551[/url] buying for 3 keys (LOL); offered 4 keys; 2 months old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10760939[/url] buying for 3 keys (LOL); offered 5 keys; 1 month old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10178700[/url] buying for 4 keys; offered 4 keys 2 ref; 1 month old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12022226[/url] buying for 4 keys 4 ref; offered 4 keys 2 ref (less than he wanted?); 2 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10539855[/url] buying for 3 keys (LOL); offered 4.5 keys; 1 month old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11350417[/url] offered 4 keys + 4 ref; 3 weeks old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10988780[/url] buying for 3 keys; offered 4 keys + 4 ref
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11690532[/url] buying for 4 keys; 1 week old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11690532[/url] buying for 15 ref; 4 months old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12065684[/url] buying for 4 keys + 1 ref; 1 day old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12043701[/url] buying for 2 keys + 3 ref (lowball much?); 1 day old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7928298[/url] (this is a quickbuy- but I wanted to point out that there have been no offers to sell it in the 5 months the trade has been up)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10995847[/url] (yet another lowball) 3 keys + 1 ref; 1 month old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11929527[/url] (quickbuy) 4 keys; 5 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12001666[/url] (quickbuy?) 4 keys; 3 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11895337[/url] 4 keys; 6 days old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12070228[/url] 4 keys; 1 day old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11864037[/url] (quickbuy?) 4 keys; 1 week old
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8923455[/url] (old trade; quickbuy) 20 ref
Bought:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7816001[/url] bought for 3 keys (outlier?)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9003861[/url] bought for 3 keys (outlier?)
Note: when I was getting my proof I avoided sets and trades that were 2 months or older (due that being the time of the last accepted suggestion)
Decreasing demand for this festive in comparison to Strange Festive GL or Strange Festive Huntsman (it is in my opinion that this is one of the least desired 2012 festives).
Sellers want 5 keys (and aren’t selling) while buyers want 3 or 4 keys (and aren’t buying). I could not find one instance of a Strange BB going for 5 keys (I chalk it up to my inexperience). Hence a suggestion of a price of 4-5 keys as a more accurate representation.
I hope I did this right. This is a learning experience for me.
Low end shouldn't be based on quicksell buyers, especially when they aren't successful.
Normally I would agree with that statement- but I've found that 95% of buyers are quicksell buyers. Also: [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7816001[/url] and [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9003861[/url] bought for 3 keys each.
Do you have proof that SF BBs are being sold at 5 keys? I am seeing more sold at 4 to 5 keys than a solid 5 and that's why the range should be lowered.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12073488 Sold for 4 keys+5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12088877 Sold for 5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12069880 Sold for 5 keys
I actually couldn't find one seller at 4 keys.
I don't see any proof either of those buyers bought any in over a month.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12043028 Bought one for a Black V. Tossle (5+ keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12093461 Sold for a SF Frontier + 1 key (4.6-4.8 keys)
http://i.imgur.com/vssdmW9.jpg I sold one for 5 keys in about a day 4 days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12089873 Sold it for 4.8 keys in about 2 hours
Needs more sold links and less selling/buying links.
I haven't found any being bought at its current price.
Low-demand item- not many sales happening.
You haven't proven 4 keys is easily possible.
A lot of your links under 4 are irrelevant and do not support anything. Quickbuy links should not be used unless they are extremely successful. Needs more sellers at the 4 key end.
You're right in saying that I need sellers at the 4 key end. However, few if any traders are buying from the sellers at 5 keys. Therefore, it would make more logical sense to lower the range.
Unsolds and quickbuyers are not valid proof.
Closing for insufficient evidence.