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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11991609
Sold for 1 bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12023835
tf logo hotrod 1 buds + sweets ~ 1.1
tf logo berliners retracted 0.9 buds
Conc
can be sold for 1 bud and theres an offer of 1.1
You did not factor in unusual overpay.
TF2 Hotrod = 1-1.1 x 0.9 = ~.945
TF2 Berliners = 19-22 keys x 0.9 = .8 buds
If the sweets were good enough, I could see proof of the upper limit. Currently, not knowing what the sweets were, I do not see definitive proof of the upper limit. If you get that, you got my upvote.
Hmmm yeah i will try. I don't know if i should resubmit as 1 bud though because ranges are always better right :/ dunno